Football · Thailand Premier League · 06/11, 13:00
Prediction: Lamphun Warrior FC vs Sukhothai FC
Team pages: Lamphun Warrior FC · Sukhothai FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Lamphun Warrior FC1.92
Sukhothai FC1.03
1X2
Lamphun Warrior FC
Draw
Sukhothai FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Lamphun Warrior FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Sukhothai FC
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lamphun Warrior FC
5–1
Sukhothai FC
(6 last)
- Lamphun Warrior FC3-0Sukhothai FC
- Lamphun Warrior FC2-0Sukhothai FC
- Sukhothai FC1-2Lamphun Warrior FC
- Lamphun Warrior FC1-0Sukhothai FC
- Sukhothai FC4-0Lamphun Warrior FC
- Sukhothai FC0-3Lamphun Warrior FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lamphun Warrior FC 1541 · Sukhothai FC 1451
| Lamphun Warrior FC | Draw | Sukhothai FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lamphun Warrior FC (rating 1541 vs 1451).
- H2H favours Lamphun Warrior FC: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lamphun Warrior FC | Sukhothai FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.1 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lamphun Warrior FC 5–0–1 Sukhothai FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Thailand Premier League | Lamphun Warrior FC | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Sukhothai FC |
| 14/01/26 Thailand Cup | Lamphun Warrior FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sukhothai FC |
| 13/09/25 Thailand Premier League | Sukhothai FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Lamphun Warrior FC |
| 09/02/25 Thailand Premier League | Lamphun Warrior FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sukhothai FC |
| 21/09/24 Thailand Premier League | Sukhothai FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Lamphun Warrior FC |
| 26/05/24 Thailand Premier League | Sukhothai FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Lamphun Warrior FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Ayutthaya United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Prachuap FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Buriram United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Bangkok United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Uthai Thani FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Sukhothai FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
| 12 | Rayong FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 13 | Pattani FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Chonburi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | Chiangrai Utd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Rasi Salai United | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lamphun Warrior FC | Sukhothai FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ayutthaya United | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Rasi Salai United | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| Port FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Uthai Thani FC | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Buriram United | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sukhothai FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lamphun Warrior FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | Pattani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/10 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Rasi Salai United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 11/09 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Sukhothai FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Rasi Salai United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/10 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lamphun Warrior FC vs Sukhothai FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lamphun Warrior FC win (57%). Probabilities: Lamphun Warrior FC 57%, draw 24%, Sukhothai FC 19%.
How many goals are expected in Lamphun Warrior FC vs Sukhothai FC?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Lamphun Warrior FC 1.92 · Sukhothai FC 1.03), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lamphun Warrior FC vs Sukhothai FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.