Football · Thailand Premier League · 07/11, 13:00
Prediction: Port FC vs Chonburi
Team pages: Port FC · Chonburi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
Port FC2.54
Chonburi1.17
1X2
Port FC
Draw
Chonburi
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Port FC
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Chonburi
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Port FC
5–1
Chonburi
(6 last)
- Chonburi3-4Port FC
- Chonburi3-2Port FC
- Port FC3-0Chonburi
- Chonburi0-4Port FC
- Port FC2-0Chonburi
- Chonburi0-2Port FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Port FC 1555 · Chonburi 1453
| Port FC | Draw | Chonburi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Port FC (rating 1555 vs 1453).
- H2H favours Port FC: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Port FC | Chonburi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 5.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Port FC 5–0–1 Chonburi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Thailand League Cup | Chonburi | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Port FC |
| 31/01/26 Thailand Premier League | Chonburi | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Port FC |
| 19/09/25 Thailand Premier League | Port FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Chonburi |
| 05/02/25 Thailand League Cup | Chonburi | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Port FC |
| 05/05/24 Thailand Premier League | Port FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Chonburi |
| 10/12/23 Thailand Premier League | Chonburi | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Port FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Ayutthaya United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Prachuap FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Buriram United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Bangkok United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Uthai Thani FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Sukhothai FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
| 12 | Rayong FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 13 | Pattani FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Chonburi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | Chiangrai Utd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Rasi Salai United | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Port FC | Chonburi |
|---|---|---|
| Rayong FC | 4-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Buriram United | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| BG Pathum United | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Port FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Port FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Pattani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 11/09 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Rasi Salai United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
Chonburi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 24/10 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Sisaket United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Port FC vs Chonburi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Port FC win (66%). Probabilities: Port FC 66%, draw 19%, Chonburi 15%.
How many goals are expected in Port FC vs Chonburi?
The model expects 3.71 goals (Port FC 2.54 · Chonburi 1.17), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Port FC vs Chonburi?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.