Football · Croatia 2.NL · 03/10, 15:30

Prediction: NK Grobnican vs NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

Team pages: NK Grobnican · NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

NK Grobnican1.44

NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac1.32

1X2

40% 27% 34%

NK Grobnican Draw NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Grobnican 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLDLWL

NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLDWWL

Head-to-head

NK Grobnican 4–1–1 NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac (6 last)

NK Grobnican2-0NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac3-3NK Grobnican
NK Grobnican3-1NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac0-1NK Grobnican
NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac2-0NK Grobnican
NK Grobnican3-1NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Grobnican 1457 · NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1471

	NK Grobnican	Draw	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Grobnican: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Grobnican	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.8	0.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/11/67%	44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.7	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	6.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:11 +4’	2.25	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Grobnican 4–1–1 NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Croatia 2.NL	NK Grobnican	2-0	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
05/09/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3-3 HT 2-1	NK Grobnican
22/03/25 Croatia 2.NL	NK Grobnican	3-1 HT 2-0	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
20/09/24 Croatia 2.NL	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0-1 HT 0-0	NK Grobnican
10/05/24 Croatia 2.NL	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2-0 HT 1-0	NK Grobnican
04/11/23 Croatia 2.NL	NK Grobnican	3-1	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

Standings · Croatia 2.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bjelovar	6	4	1	1	16	9	13
2	NK Uskok	6	4	0	2	14	7	12
3	NK Uljanik	6	3	2	1	14	13	11
4	NK Jarun	6	2	4	0	14	10	10
5	NK Trnje	6	3	1	2	10	7	10
6	NK Krizevci	6	3	1	2	10	9	10
7	NK Dugo Selo	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
8	NK Zagora	6	2	3	1	17	12	9
9	NK Solin	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
10	NK Inker Zapresic	6	2	1	3	9	11	7
11	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac	6	2	1	3	5	8	7
12	NK Grobnican	6	2	1	3	8	13	7
13	NK Lucko	6	1	2	3	7	8	5
14	NK Slavonija Pozega	6	1	2	3	11	13	5
15	NK Koprivnica	6	1	1	4	8	16	4
16	Varteks Varazdin	6	1	1	4	4	12	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Grobnican	NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Bjelovar	0-4 L	2-0 W
NK Uljanik	5-2 W	2-3 L
NK Trnje	1-5 L	1-0 W
NK Lucko	2-2 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Grobnican

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	NK Jarun Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
19/09	NK Koprivnica Croatia 2.NL	3-0	5-1	4	1	W
12/09	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-4	8	5	L
05/09	NK Inker Zapresic Croatia 2.NL	0-2	2-2	1	2	D
22/08	NK Uskok Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
29/05	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	–	5-2	–	–	W
23/05	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	0-0	1-5	7	1	L
16/05	NK Dugo Selo Croatia 2.NL	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
09/05	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-2	7	4	D
01/05	NK Kustosija Croatia 2.NL	1-2	1-4	2	8	L

NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac

WDLWLLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
19/09	NK Trnje Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
12/09	NK Slavonija Pozega Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	3	9	W
05/09	NK Zagora Croatia 2.NL	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	NK Lucko Croatia 2.NL	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
21/08	NK Uljanik Croatia 2.NL	1-2	2-3	11	4	L
30/05	Bjelovar Croatia 2.NL	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	HNK Segesta Croatia 2.NL	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
15/05	NK Krizevci Croatia 2.NL	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
09/05	NK Croatia Dakovo Croatia 2.NL	1-0	1-0	5	11	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Grobnican vs NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Grobnican win (40%). Probabilities: NK Grobnican 40%, draw 27%, NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 34%.

How many goals are expected in NK Grobnican vs NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac?

The model expects 2.76 goals (NK Grobnican 1.44 · NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1.32), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Grobnican vs NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.