Football · Croatia 1.NL · 02/09, 17:00

Prediction: NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Bijelo Brdo

Team pages: NK Croatia Zmijavci · Bijelo Brdo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.84Total

NK Croatia Zmijavci1.23

Bijelo Brdo0.61

1X2

52% 30% 19%

NK Croatia Zmijavci Draw Bijelo Brdo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Croatia Zmijavci 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLWWWW

Bijelo Brdo 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWLLWD

Head-to-head

NK Croatia Zmijavci 1–2–3 Bijelo Brdo (6 last)

Bijelo Brdo0-1NK Croatia Zmijavci
NK Croatia Zmijavci1-1Bijelo Brdo
Bijelo Brdo1-0NK Croatia Zmijavci
NK Croatia Zmijavci1-3Bijelo Brdo
NK Croatia Zmijavci0-1Bijelo Brdo
Bijelo Brdo2-2NK Croatia Zmijavci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Croatia Zmijavci 1528 · Bijelo Brdo 1508

	NK Croatia Zmijavci	Draw	Bijelo Brdo
Our model	50%	33%	17%
Market	53%	27%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bijelo Brdo: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Croatia Zmijavci	Bijelo Brdo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	0.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.9	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.30

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +8’	1.70	3.30	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Croatia Zmijavci 1–2–3 Bijelo Brdo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Croatia 1.NL	Bijelo Brdo	0-1 HT 0-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci
15/03/26 Croatia 1.NL	NK Croatia Zmijavci	1-1 HT 0-0	Bijelo Brdo
18/10/25 Croatia 1.NL	Bijelo Brdo	1-0 HT 0-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci
19/04/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Croatia Zmijavci	1-3 HT 0-2	Bijelo Brdo
30/11/24 Croatia 1.NL	NK Croatia Zmijavci	0-1 HT 0-1	Bijelo Brdo
18/09/24 Croatia 1.NL	Bijelo Brdo	2-2 HT 1-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
2	Jadran LP	2	1	1	0	6	3	4
3	Vukovar 91	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
4	HNK Cibalia	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	NK Dugopolje	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	Mladost Zdralovi	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Bijelo Brdo	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
8	NK Sesvete	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
9	Orijent	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	HNK Segesta	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Karlovac	2	1	0	1	2	4	3
12	NK Opatija	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
13	NK Kustosija	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	NK Dubrava Zagreb	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
15	Dinamo Zagreb II	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
16	Hrvace	2	0	0	2	1	7	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Croatia Zmijavci	Bijelo Brdo
Hrvace	3-0 W	1-0 W
NK Opatija	1-3 L	0-0 D
NK Jarun	1-2 L	1-0 W
NK Sesvete	1-1 D	1-2 L
NK Dugopolje	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bijelo Brdo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Croatia Zmijavci

DDLWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
23/08	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-0	3-0	10	7	W
30/05	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
24/05	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
15/05	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
10/05	NK Jarun Croatia 1.NL	0-2	1-2	6	6	L
02/05	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
26/04	NK Rudes Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
18/04	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
12/04	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-1	6	5	D

Bijelo Brdo

LWLDWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
23/08	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
30/05	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
22/05	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
16/05	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
09/05	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
02/05	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	4	10	D
25/04	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
18/04	NK Jarun Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
10/04	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Bijelo Brdo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Croatia Zmijavci win (52%). Probabilities: NK Croatia Zmijavci 52%, draw 30%, Bijelo Brdo 19%.

How many goals are expected in NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Bijelo Brdo?

The model expects 1.84 goals (NK Croatia Zmijavci 1.23 · Bijelo Brdo 0.61), with a 59% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Bijelo Brdo?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.