Football · Croatia 1.NL · 06/09, 17:00

Prediction: Orijent vs NK Croatia Zmijavci

Team pages: Orijent · NK Croatia Zmijavci

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

Orijent1.17

NK Croatia Zmijavci0.97

1X2

40% 30% 30%

Orijent Draw NK Croatia Zmijavci

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Orijent 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLWLWD

NK Croatia Zmijavci 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Orijent 1–2–3 NK Croatia Zmijavci (6 last)

Orijent0-1NK Croatia Zmijavci
Orijent0-1NK Croatia Zmijavci
NK Croatia Zmijavci1-0Orijent
Orijent2-0NK Croatia Zmijavci
NK Croatia Zmijavci1-1Orijent
Orijent0-0NK Croatia Zmijavci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orijent 1478 · NK Croatia Zmijavci 1558

	Orijent	Draw	NK Croatia Zmijavci
Our model	39%	32%	29%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Croatia Zmijavci (rating 1478 vs 1558).
H2H favours NK Croatia Zmijavci: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orijent	NK Croatia Zmijavci
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.6	3.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.20

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.27
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.88 → 2.90▲	Pinn 3.89 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +12’	2.20	3.20	2.88
20:02 +2’	2.20	3.20	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:14 +170’	2.36	2.43	3.70
21:00 +92’	2.27▼	2.46▲	3.89▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orijent 1–2–3 NK Croatia Zmijavci

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Croatia 1.NL	Orijent	0-1 HT 0-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci
21/02/26 Croatia 1.NL	Orijent	0-1 HT 0-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci
28/09/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Croatia Zmijavci	1-0 HT 0-0	Orijent
12/04/25 Croatia 1.NL	Orijent	2-0 HT 1-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci
27/10/24 Croatia 1.NL	NK Croatia Zmijavci	1-1 HT 1-0	Orijent
17/08/24 Croatia 1.NL	Orijent	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
2	Mladost Zdralovi	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
3	Jadran LP	3	1	2	0	7	4	5
4	NK Dugopolje	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
5	HNK Cibalia	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
6	Orijent	3	1	1	1	4	3	4
7	NK Opatija	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
8	HNK Segesta	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
9	Bijelo Brdo	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
10	Vukovar 91	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
11	Karlovac	3	1	1	1	4	6	4
12	NK Sesvete	3	1	0	2	4	3	3
13	Dinamo Zagreb II	3	1	0	2	6	6	3
14	NK Kustosija	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
15	NK Dubrava Zagreb	3	0	1	2	3	5	1
16	Hrvace	3	0	0	3	1	8	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orijent	NK Croatia Zmijavci
NK Dubrava Zagreb	0-1 L	2-1 W
Hrvace	0-4 L	3-0 W
NK Opatija	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NK Croatia Zmijavci (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orijent

DLLLWLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/08	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
22/08	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	0-2	1-3	4	3	L
30/05	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
23/05	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	1-2	2-3	4	3	L
16/05	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
09/05	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
02/05	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
25/04	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-3	0-4	7	2	L
19/04	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-1	8	7	D

NK Croatia Zmijavci

DLWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
28/08	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
23/08	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-0	3-0	10	7	W
30/05	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
24/05	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
15/05	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
10/05	NK Jarun Croatia 1.NL	0-2	1-2	6	6	L
02/05	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
26/04	NK Rudes Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
18/04	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orijent vs NK Croatia Zmijavci?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orijent win (40%). Probabilities: Orijent 40%, draw 30%, NK Croatia Zmijavci 30%.

How many goals are expected in Orijent vs NK Croatia Zmijavci?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Orijent 1.17 · NK Croatia Zmijavci 0.97), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Orijent vs NK Croatia Zmijavci?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.