Football · Croatia 1.NL · 02/09, 19:30

Prediction: HNK Cibalia vs Orijent

Team pages: HNK Cibalia · Orijent

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
HNK Cibalia1.75
Orijent1.13
1X2
50% 27% 23%
HNK Cibalia Draw Orijent
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
HNK Cibalia 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DWWLWWWDWD
Orijent 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LDLLLWLWLW
Head-to-head
HNK Cibalia 2–2–2 Orijent (6 last)
  • HNK Cibalia3-2Orijent
  • Orijent2-3HNK Cibalia
  • HNK Cibalia0-2Orijent
  • Orijent2-2HNK Cibalia
  • Orijent2-1HNK Cibalia
  • HNK Cibalia1-1Orijent
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HNK Cibalia 1542 · Orijent 1482
HNK CibaliaDrawOrijent
Our model51%26%23%
Market50%28%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HNK Cibalia (rating 1542 vs 1482).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HNK CibaliaOrijent
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.21.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.60.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/10/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 3.92.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.22.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · HNK Cibalia 222 Orijent

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/05/26
Croatia 1.NL
HNK Cibalia3-2
HT 2-1
Orijent
15/02/26
Croatia 1.NL
Orijent2-3
HT 1-0
HNK Cibalia
20/09/25
Croatia 1.NL
HNK Cibalia0-2
HT 0-0
Orijent
06/04/25
Croatia 1.NL
Orijent2-2
HT 1-1
HNK Cibalia
23/11/24
Croatia 1.NL
Orijent2-1
HT 0-0
HNK Cibalia
14/09/24
Croatia 1.NL
HNK Cibalia1-1
HT 0-0
Orijent

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 NK Croatia Zmijavci 2200 516
2 Jadran LP 2110 634
3 Vukovar 91 2110 314
4 HNK Cibalia 2110 324
4 NK Dugopolje 2110 324
4 Mladost Zdralovi 2110 324
7 Bijelo Brdo 2110 214
8 NK Sesvete 2101 423
9 Orijent 2101 433
10 HNK Segesta 2101 333
11 Karlovac 2101 243
12 NK Opatija 2011 341
13 NK Kustosija 2011 231
14 NK Dubrava Zagreb 2002 240
15 Dinamo Zagreb II 2002 040
16 Hrvace 2002 170

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHNK CibaliaOrijent
NK Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 W 0-1 L
NK Jarun 1-1 D 0-2 L
NK Dugopolje 1-2 L 3-0 W
Karlovac 2-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HNK Cibalia (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HNK Cibalia

DWWLWWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Bijelo Brdo
Croatia 1.NL
1-0 1-1 58 D
22/08 NK Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia 1.NL
2-1 2-1 66 W
30/05 NK Jarun
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 1-1 51 D
23/05 Orijent
Croatia 1.NL
2-1 3-2 23 W
15/05 NK Rudes
Croatia 1.NL
3-1 3-2 15 W
09/05 NK Sesvete
Croatia 1.NL
1-0 2-0 54 W
04/05 NK Dugopolje
Croatia 1.NL
1-2 1-2 27 L
25/04 Bijelo Brdo
Croatia 1.NL
1-0 2-0 22 W
18/04 Karlovac
Croatia 1.NL
2-0 2-1 85 W
11/04 NK Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia 1.NL
2-1 2-2 311 D

Orijent

LDLLLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Dinamo Zagreb II
Croatia 1.NL
2-0 3-0 31 W
22/08 HNK Segesta
Croatia 1.NL
0-2 1-3 43 L
30/05 NK Dugopolje
Croatia 1.NL
1-0 3-0 41 W
23/05 HNK Cibalia
Croatia 1.NL
1-2 2-3 43 L
16/05 Karlovac
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 1-0 63 W
09/05 NK Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 0-1 83 L
02/05 NK Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia 1.NL
0-0 0-1 71 L
25/04 Hrvace
Croatia 1.NL
0-3 0-4 72 L
19/04 NK Opatija
Croatia 1.NL
1-1 1-1 87 D
12/04 NK Jarun
Croatia 1.NL
0-1 0-2 54 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HNK Cibalia vs Orijent?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HNK Cibalia win (50%). Probabilities: HNK Cibalia 50%, draw 27%, Orijent 23%.

How many goals are expected in HNK Cibalia vs Orijent?

The model expects 2.88 goals (HNK Cibalia 1.75 · Orijent 1.13), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in HNK Cibalia vs Orijent?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.