Football · Croatia 1.NL · 06/09, 15:45

Prediction: NK Dubrava Zagreb vs NK Opatija

Team pages: NK Dubrava Zagreb · NK Opatija

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

NK Dubrava Zagreb1.19

NK Opatija1.21

1X2

35% 29% 36%

NK Dubrava Zagreb Draw NK Opatija

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Dubrava Zagreb 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWWLLD

NK Opatija 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWWLWDLW

Head-to-head

NK Dubrava Zagreb 2–4 NK Opatija (6 last)

NK Dubrava Zagreb3-2NK Opatija
NK Dubrava Zagreb0-1NK Opatija
NK Dubrava Zagreb1-2NK Opatija
NK Opatija1-2NK Dubrava Zagreb
NK Opatija4-2NK Dubrava Zagreb
NK Dubrava Zagreb1-2NK Opatija

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Dubrava Zagreb 1434 · NK Opatija 1556

	NK Dubrava Zagreb	Draw	NK Opatija
Our model	34%	30%	36%
Market	35%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Opatija (rating 1434 vs 1556).
H2H favours NK Opatija: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Dubrava Zagreb	NK Opatija
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.10

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:50 +14’	2.55	3.10	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Dubrava Zagreb 2–0–4 NK Opatija

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Croatia 1.NL	NK Dubrava Zagreb	3-2 HT 3-0	NK Opatija
14/02/26 Croatia 1.NL	NK Dubrava Zagreb	0-1 HT 0-0	NK Opatija
31/01/26 Europe Friendlies	NK Dubrava Zagreb	1-2 HT 0-2	NK Opatija
20/09/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Opatija	1-2 HT 1-1	NK Dubrava Zagreb
30/07/25 Europe Friendlies	NK Opatija	4-2 HT 2-1	NK Dubrava Zagreb
11/05/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Dubrava Zagreb	1-2 HT 0-1	NK Opatija

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
2	Mladost Zdralovi	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
3	Jadran LP	3	1	2	0	7	4	5
4	NK Dugopolje	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
5	HNK Cibalia	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
6	Orijent	3	1	1	1	4	3	4
7	NK Opatija	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
8	HNK Segesta	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
9	Bijelo Brdo	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
10	Vukovar 91	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
11	Karlovac	3	1	1	1	4	6	4
12	NK Sesvete	3	1	0	2	4	3	3
13	Dinamo Zagreb II	3	1	0	2	6	6	3
14	NK Kustosija	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
15	NK Dubrava Zagreb	3	0	1	2	3	5	1
16	Hrvace	3	0	0	3	1	8	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Dubrava Zagreb	NK Opatija
Jadran LP	1-1 D	2-2 D
NK Croatia Zmijavci	1-2 L	3-1 W
Hrvace	2-1 W	1-0 W
NK Jarun	2-0 W	2-0 W
Orijent	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Dubrava Zagreb

LLDWWWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
28/08	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
22/08	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-2	4	6	L
30/05	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-1	4	0	W
23/05	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	3-0	3-2	6	2	W
17/05	NK Jarun Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
09/05	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
02/05	NK Rudes Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
25/04	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-2	1-3	4	5	L
18/04	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	1-3	3-4	4	2	L

NK Opatija

DWDWWLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
29/08	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
22/08	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-2	1	7	D
29/05	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
23/05	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-3	2-3	7	2	L
15/05	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
10/05	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	2-0	2-0	0	7	W
02/05	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	3	10	D
24/04	NK Jarun Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
19/04	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-1	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Dubrava Zagreb vs NK Opatija?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Opatija win (36%). Probabilities: NK Dubrava Zagreb 35%, draw 29%, NK Opatija 36%.

How many goals are expected in NK Dubrava Zagreb vs NK Opatija?

The model expects 2.4 goals (NK Dubrava Zagreb 1.19 · NK Opatija 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Dubrava Zagreb vs NK Opatija?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.