Football · Hungary NB III · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: Kiraly SZE vs 1908 SZAC Budapest

Team pages: Kiraly SZE · 1908 SZAC Budapest

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

Kiraly SZE2.53

1908 SZAC Budapest1.09

1X2

68% 17% 14%

Kiraly SZE Draw 1908 SZAC Budapest

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Kiraly SZE 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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1908 SZAC Budapest 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kiraly SZE 1460 · 1908 SZAC Budapest 1378

	Kiraly SZE	Draw	1908 SZAC Budapest
Our model	68%	19%	14%
Market	69%	16%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kiraly SZE (rating 1460 vs 1378).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kiraly SZE	1908 SZAC Budapest
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	0.4 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	0/20/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.5	2.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.50

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)2.00

2 (+1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:08 +4’	1.30	5.50	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	12	9	2	1	34	10	29
2	FC Tatabanya	12	9	2	1	29	8	29
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	12	7	5	0	33	12	26
4	Sarisapi BSE	12	6	2	4	18	18	20
5	MTE 1904	12	5	4	3	19	13	19
6	Bicskei TC	12	6	0	6	27	26	18
7	SC Sopron	12	5	3	4	19	16	18
8	Komarom VSE	12	5	3	4	17	18	18
9	Puskas Academy II	12	5	2	5	26	23	17
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	12	5	1	6	21	22	16
11	Györi ETO II	12	4	2	6	16	17	14
12	Veszprem FC	12	3	4	5	20	25	13
13	Papai Perutz	12	3	2	7	9	22	11
14	Kiraly SZE	12	2	4	6	16	25	10
15	Balatonalmadi SE	12	2	2	8	11	33	8
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	12	0	2	10	6	33	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kiraly SZE	1908 SZAC Budapest
Balatonalmadi SE	2-2 D	0-1 L
Sarisapi BSE	1-1 D	1-2 L
SC Sopron	2-3 L	0-3 L
FC Tatabanya	2-2 D	1-3 L
Bicskei TC	1-3 L	0-2 L
Györi ETO II	0-2 L	0-0 D
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	0-3 L	1-6 L
Dorogi FC	0-0 D	0-7 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Kiraly SZE (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kiraly SZE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	1	6	W
11/10	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	2-3	2-5	8	5	L
03/10	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	7	7	D
26/09	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
26/08	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	10	1	L
15/08	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
12/08	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	0	3	D

1908 SZAC Budapest

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
10/10	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/10	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
26/09	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-3	1-3	2	4	L
20/09	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
06/09	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
30/08	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-6	2	4	L
26/08	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-1	1-5	2	5	L
16/08	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-2	0-7	–	–	L
12/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kiraly SZE vs 1908 SZAC Budapest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kiraly SZE win (68%). Probabilities: Kiraly SZE 68%, draw 17%, 1908 SZAC Budapest 14%.

How many goals are expected in Kiraly SZE vs 1908 SZAC Budapest?

The model expects 3.62 goals (Kiraly SZE 2.53 · 1908 SZAC Budapest 1.09), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kiraly SZE vs 1908 SZAC Budapest?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.