Football · Hungary NB III · 01/11, 11:00

Prediction: Nyiregyhaza II vs Mateszalkai MTK

Team pages: Nyiregyhaza II · Mateszalkai MTK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Nyiregyhaza II1.37

Mateszalkai MTK1.8

1X2

29% 24% 47%

Nyiregyhaza II Draw Mateszalkai MTK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Nyiregyhaza II 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLDL

Mateszalkai MTK 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDWWDLDW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nyiregyhaza II 1389 · Mateszalkai MTK 1497

	Nyiregyhaza II	Draw	Mateszalkai MTK
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mateszalkai MTK (rating 1389 vs 1497).
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nyiregyhaza II	Mateszalkai MTK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 3	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.6	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:55 +36’	3.10	3.75	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	13	11	0	2	42	11	33
2	Cigand SE	13	10	2	1	34	9	32
3	DEAC	13	8	2	3	32	18	26
4	Debreceni II	13	8	1	4	32	22	25
5	Godolloi SK	13	7	1	5	22	14	22
6	Kisvarda II	13	5	6	2	20	14	21
7	Mateszalkai MTK	13	5	5	3	21	15	20
8	Diosgyori VTK II	13	5	4	4	23	20	19
9	FC Tiszaujvaros	13	5	2	6	17	20	17
10	Fuzesabonyi SC	13	5	2	6	15	18	17
11	Egri FC	13	5	2	6	14	26	17
12	Hajdunanas FK	13	4	1	8	20	37	13
13	Salgotarjani BTC	13	4	0	9	10	21	12
14	Tiszafured VSE	13	3	1	9	7	20	10
15	Tarpa SC	13	3	0	10	10	30	9
16	Nyiregyhaza II	13	1	1	11	12	36	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nyiregyhaza II	Mateszalkai MTK
Tarpa SC	0-2 L	4-0 W
Tiszafured VSE	1-2 L	0-0 D
Cigand SE	1-5 L	0-1 L
FC Tiszaujvaros	2-3 L	2-2 D
Ozd Sajovolgye	0-5 L	2-1 W
Egri FC	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mateszalkai MTK (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nyiregyhaza II

LLLLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	0-2	0-4	5	1	L
18/10	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
03/10	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
26/09	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-5	6	4	L
29/08	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
26/08	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-2	0-5	5	1	L
15/08	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	–	–	L

Mateszalkai MTK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	3-0	4-0	4	6	W
17/10	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	5	11	D
10/10	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
03/10	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	8	5	D
26/09	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
19/09	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
05/09	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
29/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
26/08	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	0-3	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nyiregyhaza II vs Mateszalkai MTK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mateszalkai MTK win (47%). Probabilities: Nyiregyhaza II 29%, draw 24%, Mateszalkai MTK 47%.

How many goals are expected in Nyiregyhaza II vs Mateszalkai MTK?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Nyiregyhaza II 1.37 · Mateszalkai MTK 1.8), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nyiregyhaza II vs Mateszalkai MTK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.