Football · Hungary NB III · 01/11, 11:00

Prediction: Kispest Honved II vs BKV Elore SC

Team pages: Kispest Honved II · BKV Elore SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.94Total

Kispest Honved II2.44

BKV Elore SC1.49

1X2

57% 21% 22%

Kispest Honved II Draw BKV Elore SC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Kispest Honved II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLWLLD

BKV Elore SC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLDWL

Head-to-head

Kispest Honved II 0–4–2 BKV Elore SC (6 last)

Kispest Honved II2-2BKV Elore SC
BKV Elore SC1-1Kispest Honved II
Kispest Honved II1-1BKV Elore SC
BKV Elore SC0-0Kispest Honved II
BKV Elore SC2-1Kispest Honved II
Kispest Honved II1-3BKV Elore SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kispest Honved II 1478 · BKV Elore SC 1432

	Kispest Honved II	Draw	BKV Elore SC
Our model	58%	20%	22%
Market	57%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kispest Honved II (rating 1478 vs 1432).
H2H favours BKV Elore SC: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kispest Honved II	BKV Elore SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.2 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.9	4.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:40 +52’	1.57	4.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kispest Honved II 0–4–2 BKV Elore SC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	2-2 HT 1-1	BKV Elore SC
28/09/25 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	1-1 HT 0-0	Kispest Honved II
20/04/25 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	1-1 HT 0-0	BKV Elore SC
06/10/24 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Kispest Honved II
24/03/24 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	2-1 HT 0-1	Kispest Honved II
03/09/23 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	1-3 HT 1-0	BKV Elore SC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	13	13	0	0	44	10	39
2	ESMTK	13	9	3	1	35	13	30
3	III Keruleti TUE	13	8	2	3	16	6	26
4	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	13	6	5	2	24	16	23
5	Csepel	13	5	5	3	27	20	20
6	Vasas SC II	13	5	4	4	26	15	19
7	Ujpest II	13	5	4	4	29	20	19
8	FC Dabas	13	4	3	6	18	30	15
9	Monori SE	13	3	6	4	23	24	15
10	Bekescsabai Elore SE	13	3	5	5	19	19	14
11	Szolnoki Mav FC	13	3	5	5	28	31	14
12	Kispest Honved II	13	3	3	7	21	23	12
13	Sandorfalvi SK	13	3	2	8	8	30	11
14	Szegedi VSE	13	2	3	8	18	37	9
15	Hodmezovasarhelyi	13	1	6	6	15	27	9
16	BKV Elore SC	13	2	2	9	14	44	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kispest Honved II	BKV Elore SC
Hodmezovasarhelyi	2-2 D	2-2 D
Csepel	1-3 L	1-9 L
ESMTK	0-3 L	0-3 L
Monori SE	1-1 D	1-3 L
Szegedi VSE	8-1 W	1-3 L
Vasas SC II	0-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Kispest Honved II (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kispest Honved II

LWDLWLWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
18/10	Csepel Hungary NB III	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
11/10	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
04/10	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
26/09	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	2-1	2-3	1	10	L
20/09	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
05/09	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
26/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	4-0	8-1	2	1	W
19/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

BKV Elore SC

LLDLWLLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
18/10	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-3	5-4	3	9	W
11/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
03/10	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	3	5	L
27/09	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	8	2	L
19/09	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-3	3	5	L
30/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
26/08	Csepel Hungary NB III	0-3	1-9	2	5	L
16/08	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kispest Honved II vs BKV Elore SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kispest Honved II win (57%). Probabilities: Kispest Honved II 57%, draw 21%, BKV Elore SC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Kispest Honved II vs BKV Elore SC?

The model expects 3.94 goals (Kispest Honved II 2.44 · BKV Elore SC 1.49), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kispest Honved II vs BKV Elore SC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.