Football · Hungary NB III · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Komarom VSE vs Kiraly SZE

Team pages: Komarom VSE · Kiraly SZE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Komarom VSE1.93

Kiraly SZE1.29

1X2

52% 24% 25%

Komarom VSE Draw Kiraly SZE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Komarom VSE 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Kiraly SZE 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Komarom VSE 1498 · Kiraly SZE 1471

	Komarom VSE	Draw	Kiraly SZE
Our model	51%	24%	24%
Market	52%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Komarom VSE	Kiraly SZE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
03:08 +6’	1.73	3.80	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	13	9	3	1	36	12	30
2	FC Tatabanya	13	9	3	1	31	10	30
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	13	8	5	0	35	12	29
4	SC Sopron	13	6	3	4	22	17	21
5	Komarom VSE	13	6	3	4	20	18	21
6	Sarisapi BSE	13	6	3	4	20	20	21
7	Puskas Academy II	13	6	2	5	29	24	20
8	MTE 1904	13	5	5	3	19	13	20
9	Bicskei TC	13	6	1	6	27	26	19
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	13	5	2	6	23	24	17
11	Györi ETO II	13	4	2	7	16	19	14
12	Veszprem FC	13	3	4	6	21	28	13
13	Kiraly SZE	13	3	4	6	17	25	13
14	Papai Perutz	13	3	2	8	10	25	11
15	Balatonalmadi SE	13	2	2	9	11	36	8
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	13	0	2	11	6	34	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Komarom VSE	Kiraly SZE
Balatonalmadi SE	3-0 W	2-2 D
Sarisapi BSE	1-0 W	1-1 D
SC Sopron	0-3 L	2-3 L
FC Tatabanya	0-2 L	2-2 D
Bicskei TC	5-4 W	1-3 L
Györi ETO II	1-1 D	0-2 L
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Komarom VSE (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Komarom VSE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	10	1	W
17/10	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
10/10	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	1	9	L
03/10	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	3	13	L
26/09	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	4-1	5-4	2	2	W
19/09	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
06/09	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
29/08	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
26/08	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	2	9	L
15/08	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-1	4-2	–	–	W

Kiraly SZE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	4	10	W
17/10	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	1	6	W
11/10	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	2-3	2-5	8	5	L
03/10	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	7	7	D
26/09	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
26/08	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	10	1	L
15/08	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Komarom VSE vs Kiraly SZE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Komarom VSE win (52%). Probabilities: Komarom VSE 52%, draw 24%, Kiraly SZE 25%.

How many goals are expected in Komarom VSE vs Kiraly SZE?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Komarom VSE 1.93 · Kiraly SZE 1.29), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Komarom VSE vs Kiraly SZE?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.