Football · Hungary NB III · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: DEAC vs Ozd Sajovolgye

Team pages: DEAC · Ozd Sajovolgye

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

DEAC1.95

Ozd Sajovolgye1.7

1X2

43% 24% 33%

DEAC Draw Ozd Sajovolgye

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

DEAC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWLWWW

Ozd Sajovolgye 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

DEAC 1–1 Ozd Sajovolgye (2 last)

DEAC1-2Ozd Sajovolgye
Ozd Sajovolgye0-1DEAC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · DEAC 1539 · Ozd Sajovolgye 1599

	DEAC	Draw	Ozd Sajovolgye
Our model	43%	23%	33%
Market	43%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ozd Sajovolgye (rating 1539 vs 1599).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	DEAC	Ozd Sajovolgye
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.3	3.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	80/0/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:09 +4’	2.10	3.60	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · DEAC 1–0–1 Ozd Sajovolgye

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Hungary NB III	DEAC	1-2 HT 0-2	Ozd Sajovolgye
26/10/25 Hungary NB III	Ozd Sajovolgye	0-1 HT 0-0	DEAC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	12	10	0	2	39	11	30
2	Cigand SE	12	9	2	1	31	9	29
3	DEAC	12	8	2	2	32	15	26
4	Debreceni II	12	7	1	4	31	22	22
5	Kisvarda II	12	5	6	1	20	13	21
6	Godolloi SK	12	6	1	5	18	14	19
7	Diosgyori VTK II	12	5	4	3	23	17	19
8	Egri FC	12	5	2	5	14	25	17
9	Mateszalkai MTK	12	4	5	3	17	15	17
10	FC Tiszaujvaros	12	5	1	6	15	18	16
11	Fuzesabonyi SC	12	5	1	6	13	16	16
12	Tiszafured VSE	12	3	1	8	6	18	10
13	Hajdunanas FK	12	3	1	8	18	36	10
14	Salgotarjani BTC	12	3	0	9	9	21	9
15	Tarpa SC	12	3	0	9	10	26	9
16	Nyiregyhaza II	12	1	1	10	12	32	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	DEAC	Ozd Sajovolgye
Fuzesabonyi SC	3-0 W	4-2 W
Diosgyori VTK II	2-5 L	3-1 W
Hajdunanas FK	4-0 W	9-0 W
Mateszalkai MTK	1-1 D	1-2 L
Godolloi SK	1-2 L	2-0 W
Kisvarda II	1-1 D	3-2 W
Debreceni II	3-2 W	5-2 W
Tarpa SC	4-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ozd Sajovolgye (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

DEAC

WWDLDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
10/10	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	3-1	4-1	–	–	W
03/10	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
26/09	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-2	2-5	2	6	L
19/09	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
05/09	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
30/08	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	7	0	L
26/08	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	4	3	W

Ozd Sajovolgye

LWWWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
11/10	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	2-1	3-1	6	6	W
03/10	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	2-0	9-0	–	–	W
26/09	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
19/09	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	–	–	W
26/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-0	5-0	9	1	W
15/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
12/08	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in DEAC vs Ozd Sajovolgye?

According to our model, the most likely result is a DEAC win (43%). Probabilities: DEAC 43%, draw 24%, Ozd Sajovolgye 33%.

How many goals are expected in DEAC vs Ozd Sajovolgye?

The model expects 3.65 goals (DEAC 1.95 · Ozd Sajovolgye 1.7), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in DEAC vs Ozd Sajovolgye?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.