Football · Hungary NB III · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Tiszafured VSE vs Diosgyori VTK II

Team pages: Tiszafured VSE · Diosgyori VTK II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Tiszafured VSE1.28

Diosgyori VTK II1.52

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Tiszafured VSE Draw Diosgyori VTK II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tiszafured VSE 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLLDL

Diosgyori VTK II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDDWWWLLWL

Head-to-head

Tiszafured VSE 2–3–1 Diosgyori VTK II (6 last)

Tiszafured VSE1-1Diosgyori VTK II
Diosgyori VTK II1-4Tiszafured VSE
Diosgyori VTK II0-0Tiszafured VSE
Diosgyori VTK II2-2Tiszafured VSE
Diosgyori VTK II1-0Tiszafured VSE
Diosgyori VTK II0-1Tiszafured VSE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tiszafured VSE 1443 · Diosgyori VTK II 1514

	Tiszafured VSE	Draw	Diosgyori VTK II
Our model	31%	27%	42%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diosgyori VTK II (rating 1443 vs 1514).
H2H favours Tiszafured VSE: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tiszafured VSE	Diosgyori VTK II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.5	1.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.5	2.5 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.5	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:56 +18’	2.80	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tiszafured VSE 2–3–1 Diosgyori VTK II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	1-1 HT 0-0	Diosgyori VTK II
21/09/25 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	1-4 HT 0-1	Tiszafured VSE
06/10/24 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	0-0 HT 0-0	Tiszafured VSE
15/10/23 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	2-2 HT 0-1	Tiszafured VSE
07/05/23 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	1-0 HT 0-0	Tiszafured VSE
03/04/22 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	0-1 HT 0-0	Tiszafured VSE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	13	11	0	2	42	11	33
2	Cigand SE	13	10	2	1	34	9	32
3	DEAC	13	8	2	3	32	18	26
4	Debreceni II	13	8	1	4	32	22	25
5	Godolloi SK	13	7	1	5	22	14	22
6	Kisvarda II	13	5	6	2	20	14	21
7	Mateszalkai MTK	13	5	5	3	21	15	20
8	Diosgyori VTK II	13	5	4	4	23	20	19
9	FC Tiszaujvaros	13	5	2	6	17	20	17
10	Fuzesabonyi SC	13	5	2	6	15	18	17
11	Egri FC	13	5	2	6	14	26	17
12	Hajdunanas FK	13	4	1	8	20	37	13
13	Salgotarjani BTC	13	4	0	9	10	21	12
14	Tiszafured VSE	13	3	1	9	7	20	10
15	Tarpa SC	13	3	0	10	10	30	9
16	Nyiregyhaza II	13	1	1	11	12	36	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tiszafured VSE	Diosgyori VTK II
Hajdunanas FK	1-2 L	2-2 D
Mateszalkai MTK	0-0 D	2-2 D
Debreceni II	1-3 L	0-0 D
Salgotarjani BTC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Cigand SE	0-2 L	0-3 L
FC Tiszaujvaros	0-1 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Diosgyori VTK II (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tiszafured VSE

LLWWWLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	6	11	D
10/10	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	8	3	L
03/10	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
26/09	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
19/09	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/08	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
15/08	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Diosgyori VTK II

DDDWWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	7	6	L
17/10	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	5	0	W
11/10	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
03/10	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
26/09	DEAC Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	5	6	W
19/09	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	10	1	D
26/08	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tiszafured VSE vs Diosgyori VTK II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Diosgyori VTK II win (42%). Probabilities: Tiszafured VSE 32%, draw 26%, Diosgyori VTK II 42%.

How many goals are expected in Tiszafured VSE vs Diosgyori VTK II?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Tiszafured VSE 1.28 · Diosgyori VTK II 1.52), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tiszafured VSE vs Diosgyori VTK II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.