Prediction: Mateszalkai MTK vs Tarpa SC
Team pages: Mateszalkai MTK · Tarpa SC
| Mateszalkai MTK | Draw | Tarpa SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mateszalkai MTK (rating 1495 vs 1421).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mateszalkai MTK | Tarpa SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 0.7 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0.3 |
Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ozd Sajovolgye | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Cigand SE | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | DEAC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 15 | 26 |
| 4 | Debreceni II | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 22 |
| 5 | Kisvarda II | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | Godolloi SK | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Diosgyori VTK II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 8 | Egri FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 17 |
| 9 | Mateszalkai MTK | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Tiszaujvaros | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 16 |
| 11 | Fuzesabonyi SC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 16 |
| 12 | Tiszafured VSE | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 10 |
| 13 | Hajdunanas FK | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 10 |
| 14 | Salgotarjani BTC | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 9 |
| 15 | Tarpa SC | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 9 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mateszalkai MTK | Tarpa SC |
|---|---|---|
| Tiszafured VSE | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Cigand SE | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Tiszaujvaros | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Ozd Sajovolgye | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| DEAC | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Godolloi SK | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Mateszalkai MTK (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateszalkai MTK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 10/10 | Cigand SE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Egri FC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | DEAC Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/08 | Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/08 | Godolloi SK Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Tarpa SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Godolloi SK Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Kisvarda II Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Debreceni II Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Cigand SE Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/08 | FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/08 | DEAC Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateszalkai MTK vs Tarpa SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mateszalkai MTK win (53%). Probabilities: Mateszalkai MTK 53%, draw 25%, Tarpa SC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Mateszalkai MTK vs Tarpa SC?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Mateszalkai MTK 1.81 · Tarpa SC 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mateszalkai MTK vs Tarpa SC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.