Football · Hungary NB III · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: PEAC FC vs Ivancsa

Team pages: PEAC FC · Ivancsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

PEAC FC1.35

Ivancsa1.99

1X2

25% 23% 52%

PEAC FC Draw Ivancsa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

PEAC FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDDDDLL

Ivancsa 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWWWLW

Head-to-head

PEAC FC 0–1–4 Ivancsa (5 last)

PEAC FC1-1Ivancsa
Ivancsa2-1PEAC FC
PEAC FC0-6Ivancsa
PEAC FC0-1Ivancsa
PEAC FC1-2Ivancsa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PEAC FC 1482 · Ivancsa 1507

	PEAC FC	Draw	Ivancsa
Our model	25%	24%	51%
Market	26%	22%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ivancsa: 4-1-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PEAC FC	Ivancsa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	2.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	2.5 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.50

X4.00

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:10 +3’	3.50	4.00	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · PEAC FC 0–1–4 Ivancsa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Ivancsa
19/10/25 Hungary NB III	Ivancsa	2-1 HT 0-0	PEAC FC
09/03/25 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	0-6 HT 0-2	Ivancsa
19/05/24 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Ivancsa
29/03/23 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Ivancsa

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	12	11	1	0	34	4	34
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	11	7	1	3	31	14	22
3	Ferencvarosi TC II	11	6	3	2	26	15	21
4	Dunaharaszti MTK	12	6	2	4	24	20	20
5	Ivancsa	11	6	0	5	26	23	18
6	Majosi SE	11	5	3	3	24	23	18
7	Budafoki MTE	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	PEAC FC	11	4	4	3	17	16	16
9	MTK Budapest II	10	5	0	5	26	20	15
10	Erdi VSE	11	4	3	4	25	25	15
11	BFC Siofok	11	4	2	5	18	15	14
12	Budaorsi SC	11	3	3	5	17	30	12
13	Paksi SE II	11	1	4	6	20	24	7
14	Sarbogard SE	11	1	2	8	9	31	5
15	Szekszardi	11	0	0	11	5	45	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PEAC FC	Ivancsa
Erdi VSE	1-3 L	4-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC II	1-4 L	3-2 W
Majosi SE	1-1 D	2-3 L
Pecsi MFC	1-1 D	0-7 L
Dunaharaszti MTK	1-1 D	1-3 L
Paksi SE II	1-1 D	2-0 W
Budaorsi SC	6-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: PEAC FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PEAC FC

WLWWDDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	6	8	L
10/10	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-4	5	2	L
03/10	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
26/09	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
19/09	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
05/09	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	1	4	W
15/08	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/08	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
09/08	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Ivancsa

LWLLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	4-2	5-2	3	1	W
10/10	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-1	8	4	W
26/09	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	4-1	–	–	W
19/09	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	1-3	2-3	–	–	L
30/08	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-4	0-7	6	5	L
26/08	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	8	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PEAC FC vs Ivancsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ivancsa win (52%). Probabilities: PEAC FC 25%, draw 23%, Ivancsa 52%.

How many goals are expected in PEAC FC vs Ivancsa?

The model expects 3.35 goals (PEAC FC 1.35 · Ivancsa 1.99), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PEAC FC vs Ivancsa?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.