Prediction: MTK Budapest II vs Sarbogard SE
Team pages: MTK Budapest II · Sarbogard SE
| MTK Budapest II | Draw | Sarbogard SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MTK Budapest II (rating 1483 vs 1408).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MTK Budapest II | Sarbogard SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 2.2 | 0.8 / 3.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.3 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 0/20/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pecsi MFC | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 37 |
| 2 | Kaposvari Rakoczi | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | Ivancsa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 21 |
| 5 | Majosi SE | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 24 | 21 |
| 6 | Dunaharaszti MTK | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Budafoki MTE | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 18 |
| 8 | BFC Siofok | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Erdi VSE | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 27 | 16 |
| 10 | PEAC FC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 16 |
| 11 | MTK Budapest II | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 15 |
| 12 | Budaorsi SC | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 12 |
| 13 | Paksi SE II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 10 |
| 14 | Sarbogard SE | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 5 |
| 15 | Szekszardi | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 47 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MTK Budapest II | Sarbogard SE |
|---|---|---|
| Kaposvari Rakoczi | 3-4 L | 0-7 L |
| Ivancsa | 2-5 L | 1-4 L |
| Erdi VSE | 3-1 W | 3-4 L |
| Ferencvarosi TC II | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Pecsi MFC | 0-3 L | 0-6 L |
| Paksi SE II | 4-2 W | 0-6 L |
| Budaorsi SC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| BFC Siofok | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Szekszardi | 8-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: MTK Budapest II (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MTK Budapest II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III |
2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Ivancsa Hungary NB III |
2-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Erdi VSE Hungary NB III |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III |
1-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Paksi SE II Hungary NB III |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/08 | BFC Siofok Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Szekszardi Hungary NB III |
2-0 | 8-0 | – | – | W |
Sarbogard SE
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Paksi SE II Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III |
0-4 | 0-7 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Ivancsa Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Erdi VSE Hungary NB III |
1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Szekszardi Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | BFC Siofok Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | Majosi SE Hungary NB III |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/08 | Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MTK Budapest II vs Sarbogard SE?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MTK Budapest II win (77%). Probabilities: MTK Budapest II 77%, draw 14%, Sarbogard SE 9%.
How many goals are expected in MTK Budapest II vs Sarbogard SE?
The model expects 4.26 goals (MTK Budapest II 3.13 · Sarbogard SE 1.13), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in MTK Budapest II vs Sarbogard SE?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.