Football · Hungary NB III · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Budaorsi SC vs Pecsi MFC

Team pages: Budaorsi SC · Pecsi MFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Budaorsi SC1.18

Pecsi MFC2.42

1X2

16% 20% 64%

Budaorsi SC Draw Pecsi MFC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Budaorsi SC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWDDL

Pecsi MFC 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Budaorsi SC 1–1–2 Pecsi MFC (4 last)

Budaorsi SC0-1Pecsi MFC
Pecsi MFC1-1Budaorsi SC
Budaorsi SC0-1Pecsi MFC
Pecsi MFC0-1Budaorsi SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Budaorsi SC 1462 · Pecsi MFC 1625

	Budaorsi SC	Draw	Pecsi MFC
Our model	16%	20%	64%
Market	16%	20%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pecsi MFC (rating 1462 vs 1625).
H2H favours Pecsi MFC: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Budaorsi SC	Pecsi MFC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.7	2.9 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	3.2 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.50

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)2.00

2 (-1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:15 +7’	5.50	4.50	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Budaorsi SC 1–1–2 Pecsi MFC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/22 Hungary NB II	Budaorsi SC	0-1 HT 0-0	Pecsi MFC
15/08/21 Hungary NB II	Pecsi MFC	1-1 HT 0-1	Budaorsi SC
07/03/21 Hungary NB II	Budaorsi SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Pecsi MFC
16/09/20 Hungary NB II	Pecsi MFC	0-1 HT 0-1	Budaorsi SC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	12	11	1	0	34	4	34
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	11	7	1	3	31	14	22
3	Ferencvarosi TC II	11	6	3	2	26	15	21
4	Dunaharaszti MTK	12	6	2	4	24	20	20
5	Ivancsa	11	6	0	5	26	23	18
6	Majosi SE	11	5	3	3	24	23	18
7	Budafoki MTE	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	PEAC FC	11	4	4	3	17	16	16
9	MTK Budapest II	10	5	0	5	26	20	15
10	Erdi VSE	11	4	3	4	25	25	15
11	BFC Siofok	11	4	2	5	18	15	14
12	Budaorsi SC	11	3	3	5	17	30	12
13	Paksi SE II	11	1	4	6	20	24	7
14	Sarbogard SE	11	1	2	8	9	31	5
15	Szekszardi	11	0	0	11	5	45	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Budaorsi SC	Pecsi MFC
Sarbogard SE	1-1 D	6-0 W
Szekszardi	5-1 W	3-0 W
BFC Siofok	1-4 L	1-0 W
Budafoki MTE	1-3 L	2-1 W
PEAC FC	1-6 L	1-1 D
MTK Budapest II	1-0 W	3-0 W
Ivancsa	3-1 W	7-0 W
Kaposvari Rakoczi	0-7 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pecsi MFC (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Budaorsi SC

LWWLLLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	4	7	L
10/10	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
26/09	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	2-1	5-1	8	7	W
05/09	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-2	1-4	9	3	L
29/08	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	1	4	L
26/08	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	1-2	1-6	3	4	L
15/08	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/08	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	1	6	W
08/08	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-4	0-7	–	–	L

Pecsi MFC

WWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	13	5	W
11/10	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
03/10	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	11	1	W
26/09	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-0	3-0	6	4	W
05/09	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	4-0	7-0	4	5	W
26/08	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
15/08	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
12/08	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	2-0	6-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Budaorsi SC vs Pecsi MFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pecsi MFC win (64%). Probabilities: Budaorsi SC 16%, draw 20%, Pecsi MFC 64%.

How many goals are expected in Budaorsi SC vs Pecsi MFC?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Budaorsi SC 1.18 · Pecsi MFC 2.42), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Budaorsi SC vs Pecsi MFC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.