Football · Hungary NB III · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: III Keruleti TUE vs Gyulai Termal

Team pages: III Keruleti TUE · Gyulai Termal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

III Keruleti TUE1.14

Gyulai Termal1.63

1X2

27% 25% 49%

III Keruleti TUE Draw Gyulai Termal

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

III Keruleti TUE 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWLDD

Gyulai Termal 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

III Keruleti TUE 1–1 Gyulai Termal (2 last)

Gyulai Termal2-0III Keruleti TUE
III Keruleti TUE2-1Gyulai Termal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · III Keruleti TUE 1537 · Gyulai Termal 1620

	III Keruleti TUE	Draw	Gyulai Termal
Our model	25%	27%	48%
Market	27%	23%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyulai Termal (rating 1537 vs 1620).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	III Keruleti TUE	Gyulai Termal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.5	3.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	4.3 / 1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.90

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
11:06 +7’	3.25	3.90	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · III Keruleti TUE 1–0–1 Gyulai Termal

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Hungary NB III	Gyulai Termal	2-0 HT 0-0	III Keruleti TUE
12/10/25 Hungary NB III	III Keruleti TUE	2-1 HT 0-1	Gyulai Termal

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	12	12	0	0	43	10	36
2	ESMTK	12	8	3	1	33	12	27
3	III Keruleti TUE	12	8	2	2	16	5	26
4	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	12	5	5	2	22	15	20
5	Ujpest II	12	5	4	3	28	18	19
6	Vasas SC II	12	5	3	4	25	14	18
7	Csepel	12	4	5	3	24	18	17
8	FC Dabas	12	4	2	6	18	30	14
9	Bekescsabai Elore SE	12	3	5	4	18	17	14
10	Monori SE	12	3	5	4	22	23	14
11	Szolnoki Mav FC	12	3	5	4	26	28	14
12	Kispest Honved II	12	3	2	7	19	21	11
13	Sandorfalvi SK	12	3	1	8	8	30	10
14	BKV Elore SC	12	2	2	8	13	41	8
15	Hodmezovasarhelyi	12	1	5	6	13	25	8
16	Szegedi VSE	12	1	3	8	15	36	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	III Keruleti TUE	Gyulai Termal
Ujpest II	0-0 D	2-1 W
Szolnoki Mav FC	1-1 D	4-3 W
Kispest Honved II	0-1 L	3-2 W
Szegedi VSE	1-0 W	4-1 W
FC Dabas	1-0 W	5-0 W
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	1-0 W	4-0 W
Vasas SC II	0-3 L	1-0 W
Bekescsabai Elore SE	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gyulai Termal (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

III Keruleti TUE

WWWLWWWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
10/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
04/10	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
26/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
20/09	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
05/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
30/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
26/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
12/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Gyulai Termal

WWWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-1	4-1	2	5	W
10/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
03/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-3	–	–	W
26/09	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	11	10	W
19/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
05/09	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-0	5-0	6	4	W
30/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	1	4	W
26/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-2	10	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in III Keruleti TUE vs Gyulai Termal?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gyulai Termal win (49%). Probabilities: III Keruleti TUE 27%, draw 25%, Gyulai Termal 49%.

How many goals are expected in III Keruleti TUE vs Gyulai Termal?

The model expects 2.77 goals (III Keruleti TUE 1.14 · Gyulai Termal 1.63), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in III Keruleti TUE vs Gyulai Termal?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.