Football · Hungary NB III · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Gyulai Termal vs ESMTK

Team pages: Gyulai Termal · ESMTK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Gyulai Termal1.84

ESMTK1.34

1X2

49% 24% 27%

Gyulai Termal Draw ESMTK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Gyulai Termal 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

ESMTK 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Gyulai Termal 0–1–1 ESMTK (2 last)

Gyulai Termal1-1ESMTK
ESMTK2-1Gyulai Termal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyulai Termal 1607 · ESMTK 1613

	Gyulai Termal	Draw	ESMTK
Our model	48%	25%	27%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyulai Termal	ESMTK
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.8	3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	1.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	2.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 1	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:03 +7’	1.83	3.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyulai Termal 0–1–1 ESMTK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Hungary NB III	Gyulai Termal	1-1 HT 0-1	ESMTK
28/09/25 Hungary NB III	ESMTK	2-1 HT 1-1	Gyulai Termal

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	13	13	0	0	44	10	39
2	ESMTK	13	9	3	1	35	13	30
3	III Keruleti TUE	13	8	2	3	16	6	26
4	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	13	6	5	2	24	16	23
5	Csepel	13	5	5	3	27	20	20
6	Vasas SC II	13	5	4	4	26	15	19
7	Ujpest II	13	5	4	4	29	20	19
8	FC Dabas	13	4	3	6	18	30	15
9	Monori SE	13	3	6	4	23	24	15
10	Bekescsabai Elore SE	13	3	5	5	19	19	14
11	Szolnoki Mav FC	13	3	5	5	28	31	14
12	Kispest Honved II	13	3	3	7	21	23	12
13	Sandorfalvi SK	13	3	2	8	8	30	11
14	Szegedi VSE	13	2	3	8	18	37	9
15	Hodmezovasarhelyi	13	1	6	6	15	27	9
16	BKV Elore SC	13	2	2	9	14	44	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyulai Termal	ESMTK
Ujpest II	2-1 W	2-1 W
Szolnoki Mav FC	4-3 W	3-2 W
Kispest Honved II	3-2 W	3-0 W
Szegedi VSE	4-1 W	4-1 W
FC Dabas	5-0 W	6-0 W
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	4-0 W	1-1 D
Vasas SC II	1-0 W	2-0 W
Bekescsabai Elore SE	2-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 0 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ESMTK (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyulai Termal

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
17/10	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-1	4-1	2	5	W
10/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
03/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-3	–	–	W
26/09	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	11	10	W
19/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
05/09	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-0	5-0	6	4	W
30/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	1	4	W
26/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

ESMTK

WWDWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
17/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
11/10	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	12	4	W
03/10	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-1	4	2	W
27/09	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	3-0	6-0	2	5	W
20/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
29/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
26/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	3-0	3-0	6	3	W
16/08	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyulai Termal vs ESMTK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyulai Termal win (49%). Probabilities: Gyulai Termal 49%, draw 24%, ESMTK 27%.

How many goals are expected in Gyulai Termal vs ESMTK?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Gyulai Termal 1.84 · ESMTK 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyulai Termal vs ESMTK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.