Football · Hungary NB III · 08/08, 17:30

Prediction: Monori SE vs Csepel FC

Team pages: Monori SE · Csepel FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

Monori SE2.25

Csepel FC1.41

1X2

55% 22% 22%

Monori SE Draw Csepel FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Monori SE 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Csepel FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Monori SE 3–2–0 Csepel FC (5 last)

Monori SE3-2Csepel FC
Csepel FC0-3Monori SE
Csepel FC1-1Monori SE
Monori SE2-1Csepel FC
Csepel FC0-0Monori SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monori SE 1473 · Csepel FC 1515

	Monori SE	Draw	Csepel FC
Our model	56%	22%	23%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Csepel FC (rating 1473 vs 1515).
H2H favours Monori SE: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Monori SE	Csepel FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.7	2.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	1.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.8	1.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:09 +1’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Monori SE 3–2–0 Csepel FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	3-2 HT 2-1	Csepel FC
31/08/25 Hungary NB III	Csepel FC	0-3 HT 0-0	Monori SE
02/08/25 Hungary Cup	Csepel FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Monori SE
25/05/25 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	2-1 HT 0-0	Csepel FC
10/11/24 Hungary NB III	Csepel FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Monori SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ujpest II	1	1	0	0	6	0	3
2	Szolnoki Mav FC	1	1	0	0	5	2	3
3	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	1	1	0	0	4	1	3
4	Gyulai Termal	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
5	III Keruleti TUE	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
6	ESMTK	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
7	Szegedi VSE	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
7	Vasas SC II	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	Bekescsabai Elore SE	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	Kispest Honved II	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	Monori SE	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
12	Csepel FC	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
13	Sandorfalvi SKE	1	0	0	1	2	5	0
14	FC Dabas	1	0	0	1	1	4	0
15	Hodmezovasarhelyi	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
16	BKV Elore SC	1	0	0	1	0	6	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Monori SE	Csepel FC
Kispest Honved II	0-1 L	3-1 W
Gyulai Termal	2-1 W	1-4 L
Szegedi VSE	5-4 W	3-2 W
Martfui LSE	3-0 W	6-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Csepel FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Monori SE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	2	8	L
11/07	Kispest Honved Europe Friendlies	0-3	0-6	3	0	L
11/07	Kispest Honved Club Friendly List	0-3	0-6	3	0	L
07/06	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	5	8	L
31/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
24/05	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
17/05	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/05	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
03/05	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-2	5-4	6	9	W
26/04	Martfui LSE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Csepel FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Szepetnek SE Hungary Cup	5-0	7-0	5	3	W
25/07	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
10/07	Kaposvari Rakoczi Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
24/05	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	0	5	W
17/05	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	1-2	1-4	1	2	L
10/05	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	3-2	1	2	W
03/05	Martfui LSE Hungary NB III	1-2	6-2	5	4	W
26/04	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	2-2	3-2	4	5	W
19/04	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	5	2	L
11/04	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monori SE vs Csepel FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monori SE win (55%). Probabilities: Monori SE 55%, draw 22%, Csepel FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Monori SE vs Csepel FC?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Monori SE 2.25 · Csepel FC 1.41), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Monori SE vs Csepel FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.