Football · Hungary NB III · 09/08, 11:00

Prediction: Puskas Academy II vs FC Tatabanya

Team pages: Puskas Academy II · FC Tatabanya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Puskas Academy II1.58

FC Tatabanya1.73

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Puskas Academy II Draw FC Tatabanya

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Puskas Academy II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWLWLL

FC Tatabanya 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Puskas Academy II 2–3 FC Tatabanya (5 last)

Puskas Academy II1-2FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya0-2Puskas Academy II
Puskas Academy II2-1FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya1-0Puskas Academy II
Puskas Academy II1-2FC Tatabanya

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puskas Academy II 1491 · FC Tatabanya 1572

	Puskas Academy II	Draw	FC Tatabanya
Our model	34%	25%	41%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tatabanya (rating 1491 vs 1572).
H2H favours FC Tatabanya: 3-0-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puskas Academy II	FC Tatabanya
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
09:34 +1’	2.60	3.60	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Puskas Academy II 2–0–3 FC Tatabanya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Hungary NB III	Puskas Academy II	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Tatabanya
10/08/25 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	0-2 HT 0-2	Puskas Academy II
30/08/23 Hungary NB III	Puskas Academy II	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Tatabanya
18/04/21 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	1-0 HT 0-0	Puskas Academy II
27/09/20 Hungary NB III	Puskas Academy II	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Tatabanya

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	1	1	0	0	4	1	3
2	MTE 1904	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
3	Veszprem FC	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
4	Bicskei TC	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	Györi ETO II	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
6	Kiraly SZE	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	1908 SZAC Budapest	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
7	Komarom VSE	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
7	SC Sopron	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
7	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
11	FC Tatabanya	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
11	Puskas Academy II	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
13	Papai Perutz	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
14	Zalaegerszegi TE II	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
15	Balatonalmadi SE	1	0	0	1	1	4	0
16	Sarisapi BSE	1	0	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puskas Academy II	FC Tatabanya
Bicskei TC	1-2 L	6-0 W
Dorogi FC	0-3 L	2-0 W
Veszprem FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Papai Perutz	3-1 W	6-2 W
Zsambeki SK	3-2 W	5-3 W
MTE 1904	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tatabanya (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puskas Academy II

WDDLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	1-2	1-2	6	5	L
24/05	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
17/05	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	2	5	W
10/05	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-2	5	2	L
30/04	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-1	3-1	9	2	W
26/04	Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	4	2	W
19/04	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	2-2	2-4	3	2	L
11/04	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
05/04	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
29/03	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	2	7	W

FC Tatabanya

WWWWWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	10	3	L
24/05	Balatonfuredi FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
17/05	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
10/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-4	4	9	L
03/05	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	3	5	W
25/04	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
19/04	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	3-0	6-0	4	2	W
15/04	Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III	3-1	5-3	–	–	W
11/04	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	6	10	W
05/04	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	3-0	6-2	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puskas Academy II vs FC Tatabanya?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tatabanya win (41%). Probabilities: Puskas Academy II 34%, draw 25%, FC Tatabanya 41%.

How many goals are expected in Puskas Academy II vs FC Tatabanya?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Puskas Academy II 1.58 · FC Tatabanya 1.73), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Puskas Academy II vs FC Tatabanya?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.