Football · Hungary NB III · 24/10, 19:00

Prediction: FC Tatabanya vs Dorogi FC

Team pages: FC Tatabanya · Dorogi FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

FC Tatabanya1.66

Dorogi FC1.29

1X2

45% 25% 29%

FC Tatabanya Draw Dorogi FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Tatabanya 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWWWWW

Dorogi FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWDWW

Head-to-head

FC Tatabanya 3–1 Dorogi FC (4 last)

Dorogi FC0-2FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya0-1Dorogi FC
Dorogi FC0-1FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya3-1Dorogi FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Tatabanya 1599 · Dorogi FC 1567

	FC Tatabanya	Draw	Dorogi FC
Our model	45%	26%	29%
Market	46%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Tatabanya: 3-0-1.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Tatabanya	Dorogi FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.6	2.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.70

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:16 +7’	1.95	3.70	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tatabanya 3–0–1 Dorogi FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Hungary NB III	Dorogi FC	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Tatabanya
12/10/25 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	0-1 HT 0-1	Dorogi FC
07/04/24 Hungary NB III	Dorogi FC	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Tatabanya
24/09/23 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	3-1 HT 1-1	Dorogi FC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	12	9	2	1	34	10	29
2	FC Tatabanya	12	9	2	1	29	8	29
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	12	7	5	0	33	12	26
4	Sarisapi BSE	12	6	2	4	18	18	20
5	MTE 1904	12	5	4	3	19	13	19
6	Bicskei TC	12	6	0	6	27	26	18
7	SC Sopron	12	5	3	4	19	16	18
8	Komarom VSE	12	5	3	4	17	18	18
9	Puskas Academy II	12	5	2	5	26	23	17
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	12	5	1	6	21	22	16
11	Györi ETO II	12	4	2	6	16	17	14
12	Veszprem FC	12	3	4	5	20	25	13
13	Papai Perutz	12	3	2	7	9	22	11
14	Kiraly SZE	12	2	4	6	16	25	10
15	Balatonalmadi SE	12	2	2	8	11	33	8
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	12	0	2	10	6	33	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Tatabanya	Dorogi FC
Papai Perutz	1-0 W	2-1 W
Zalaegerszegi TE II	3-0 W	2-4 L
Komarom VSE	2-0 W	1-0 W
1908 SZAC Budapest	3-1 W	7-0 W
Kiraly SZE	2-2 D	0-0 D
Bicskei TC	3-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tatabanya (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Tatabanya

WDWWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	12	5	W
10/10	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	7	7	W
03/10	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	5	13	W
26/09	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	3-0	3-1	9	4	W
19/09	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
05/09	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
26/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
15/08	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/08	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	3	3	W

Dorogi FC

DWWLWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
11/10	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
04/10	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	7	8	D
27/09	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
19/09	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
05/09	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	13	3	W
29/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-2	2-4	–	–	L
26/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	1	9	W
16/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	2-0	7-0	–	–	W
12/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	9	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Tatabanya vs Dorogi FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tatabanya win (45%). Probabilities: FC Tatabanya 45%, draw 25%, Dorogi FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in FC Tatabanya vs Dorogi FC?

The model expects 2.95 goals (FC Tatabanya 1.66 · Dorogi FC 1.29), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Tatabanya vs Dorogi FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.