Football · Hungary NB III · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: MTE 1904 vs FC Tatabanya

Team pages: MTE 1904 · FC Tatabanya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

MTE 19041.25

FC Tatabanya1.49

1X2

32% 26% 42%

MTE 1904 Draw FC Tatabanya

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

MTE 1904 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLDLLDWD

FC Tatabanya 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWWWWD

Head-to-head

MTE 1904 1–3 FC Tatabanya (4 last)

MTE 19040-1FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya3-0MTE 1904
MTE 19042-0FC Tatabanya
FC Tatabanya3-2MTE 1904

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MTE 1904 1467 · FC Tatabanya 1596

	MTE 1904	Draw	FC Tatabanya
Our model	31%	28%	41%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tatabanya (rating 1467 vs 1596).
H2H favours FC Tatabanya: 3-0-1.
High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MTE 1904	FC Tatabanya
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	2.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.4	3.9 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	5.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:59 +12’	2.80	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MTE 1904 1–0–3 FC Tatabanya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Hungary NB III	MTE 1904	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Tatabanya
02/11/25 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	3-0 HT 1-0	MTE 1904
14/11/21 Hungary NB III	MTE 1904	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Tatabanya
16/05/21 Hungary NB III	FC Tatabanya	3-2 HT 3-1	MTE 1904

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	13	9	3	1	36	12	30
2	FC Tatabanya	13	9	3	1	31	10	30
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	13	8	5	0	35	12	29
4	SC Sopron	13	6	3	4	22	17	21
5	Komarom VSE	13	6	3	4	20	18	21
6	Sarisapi BSE	13	6	3	4	20	20	21
7	Puskas Academy II	13	6	2	5	29	24	20
8	MTE 1904	13	5	5	3	19	13	20
9	Bicskei TC	13	6	1	6	27	26	19
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	13	5	2	6	23	24	17
11	Györi ETO II	13	4	2	7	16	19	14
12	Veszprem FC	13	3	4	6	21	28	13
13	Kiraly SZE	13	3	4	6	17	25	13
14	Papai Perutz	13	3	2	8	10	25	11
15	Balatonalmadi SE	13	2	2	9	11	36	8
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	13	0	2	11	6	34	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MTE 1904	FC Tatabanya
Dorogi FC	0-1 L	2-2 D
Papai Perutz	0-0 D	1-0 W
Zalaegerszegi TE II	1-3 L	3-0 W
Komarom VSE	0-0 D	2-0 W
1908 SZAC Budapest	5-1 W	3-1 W
Veszprem FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tatabanya (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MTE 1904

DWDLDLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
17/10	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	11	2	W
11/10	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
03/10	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	1-3	1-4	7	1	L
27/09	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
19/09	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
29/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
26/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	1-0	5-1	6	5	W
15/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

FC Tatabanya

DWWDWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
17/10	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	12	5	W
10/10	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	7	7	W
03/10	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	5	13	W
26/09	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	3-0	3-1	9	4	W
19/09	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
05/09	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
26/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
15/08	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MTE 1904 vs FC Tatabanya?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tatabanya win (42%). Probabilities: MTE 1904 32%, draw 26%, FC Tatabanya 42%.

How many goals are expected in MTE 1904 vs FC Tatabanya?

The model expects 2.74 goals (MTE 1904 1.25 · FC Tatabanya 1.49), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MTE 1904 vs FC Tatabanya?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.