Football · Hungary NB III · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: SC Sopron vs Papai Perutz

Team pages: SC Sopron · Papai Perutz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

SC Sopron2.24

Papai Perutz1.01

1X2

64% 21% 15%

SC Sopron Draw Papai Perutz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Sopron 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWDWWL

Papai Perutz 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDLWLL

Head-to-head

SC Sopron 1–1–1 Papai Perutz (3 last)

Papai Perutz1-0SC Sopron
SC Sopron3-2Papai Perutz
SC Sopron2-2Papai Perutz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Sopron 1520 · Papai Perutz 1452

	SC Sopron	Draw	Papai Perutz
Our model	64%	21%	15%
Market	64%	21%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Sopron (rating 1520 vs 1452).
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Sopron	Papai Perutz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	0.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 4.3	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.7	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:09 +3’	1.40	4.33	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Sopron 1–1–1 Papai Perutz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Hungary NB III	Papai Perutz	1-0 HT 0-0	SC Sopron
12/10/25 Hungary NB III	SC Sopron	3-2 HT 2-2	Papai Perutz
15/01/22 Europe Friendlies	SC Sopron	2-2 HT 1-1	Papai Perutz

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	12	9	2	1	34	10	29
2	FC Tatabanya	12	9	2	1	29	8	29
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	12	7	5	0	33	12	26
4	Sarisapi BSE	12	6	2	4	18	18	20
5	MTE 1904	12	5	4	3	19	13	19
6	Bicskei TC	12	6	0	6	27	26	18
7	SC Sopron	12	5	3	4	19	16	18
8	Komarom VSE	12	5	3	4	17	18	18
9	Puskas Academy II	12	5	2	5	26	23	17
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	12	5	1	6	21	22	16
11	Györi ETO II	12	4	2	6	16	17	14
12	Veszprem FC	12	3	4	5	20	25	13
13	Papai Perutz	12	3	2	7	9	22	11
14	Kiraly SZE	12	2	4	6	16	25	10
15	Balatonalmadi SE	12	2	2	8	11	33	8
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	12	0	2	10	6	33	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Sopron	Papai Perutz
Zalaegerszegi TE II	1-3 L	1-0 W
Komarom VSE	3-0 W	2-4 L
Veszprem FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Puskas Academy II	1-3 L	0-5 L
FC Tatabanya	1-1 D	0-1 L
Györi ETO II	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SC Sopron (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Sopron

WDLLLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
10/10	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	3-0	4	9	W
04/10	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
26/09	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
26/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/08	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	5	5	W

Papai Perutz

DLWLLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
10/10	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
03/10	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	8	1	W
27/09	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
19/09	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-5	2	7	L
26/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
12/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Sopron vs Papai Perutz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Sopron win (64%). Probabilities: SC Sopron 64%, draw 21%, Papai Perutz 15%.

How many goals are expected in SC Sopron vs Papai Perutz?

The model expects 3.25 goals (SC Sopron 2.24 · Papai Perutz 1.01), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Sopron vs Papai Perutz?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.