Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 31/10, 12:45
Prediction: Czarni Sosnowiec (W) vs Pogon Szczecin (W)
Team pages: Czarni Sosnowiec (W) · Pogon Szczecin (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)2.1
Pogon Szczecin (W)1.48
1X2
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
Draw
Pogon Szczecin (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Pogon Szczecin (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
2–3–1
Pogon Szczecin (W)
(6 last)
- Pogon Szczecin (W)2-2Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
- Pogon Szczecin (W)1-1Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
- Czarni Sosnowiec (W)2-1Pogon Szczecin (W)
- Czarni Sosnowiec (W)1-1Pogon Szczecin (W)
- Pogon Szczecin (W)1-2Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
- Czarni Sosnowiec (W)0-1Pogon Szczecin (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 1542 · Pogon Szczecin (W) 1547
| Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | Draw | Pogon Szczecin (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| Market | 51% | 22% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Czarni Sosnowiec (W): 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | Pogon Szczecin (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.2 | 2.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/22/22% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.9 | 3.5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 2–3–1 Pogon Szczecin (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) |
| 21/04/26 Poland Cup Women | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) |
| 04/10/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Pogon Szczecin (W) |
| 17/05/25 Poland Cup Women | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Pogon Szczecin (W) |
| 27/04/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) |
| 05/10/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Pogon Szczecin (W) |
Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKS Katowice (W) | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Gornik Leczna (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | APLG Gdansk (W) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | Legia Warsaw (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 10 |
| 7 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 7 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 7 |
| 10 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
| 11 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | Pogon Szczecin (W) |
|---|---|---|
| APLG Gdansk (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Slask Wroclaw (W) | 2-0 W | 5-0 W |
| AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Legia Warsaw (W) | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Gornik Leczna (W) | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Czarni Sosnowiec (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 31/07 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Pogon Szczecin (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Czarni Sosnowiec (W) vs Pogon Szczecin (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Czarni Sosnowiec (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 51%, draw 23%, Pogon Szczecin (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in Czarni Sosnowiec (W) vs Pogon Szczecin (W)?
The model expects 3.58 goals (Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 2.1 · Pogon Szczecin (W) 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Czarni Sosnowiec (W) vs Pogon Szczecin (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.