Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 08/11, 13:00
Prediction: Gornik Leczna (W) vs AZS UJ Krakow (W)
Team pages: Gornik Leczna (W) · AZS UJ Krakow (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Gornik Leczna (W)2.32
AZS UJ Krakow (W)0.69
1X2
Gornik Leczna (W)
Draw
AZS UJ Krakow (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Gornik Leczna (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
AZS UJ Krakow (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gornik Leczna (W)
5–1
AZS UJ Krakow (W)
(6 last)
- Gornik Leczna (W)0-1AZS UJ Krakow (W)
- AZS UJ Krakow (W)0-1Gornik Leczna (W)
- AZS UJ Krakow (W)1-4Gornik Leczna (W)
- Gornik Leczna (W)2-1AZS UJ Krakow (W)
- Gornik Leczna (W)4-2AZS UJ Krakow (W)
- AZS UJ Krakow (W)3-4Gornik Leczna (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gornik Leczna (W) 1550 · AZS UJ Krakow (W) 1503
| Gornik Leczna (W) | Draw | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 18% | 9% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gornik Leczna (W) (rating 1550 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Gornik Leczna (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gornik Leczna (W) | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 29/29/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 8 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gornik Leczna (W) 5–0–1 AZS UJ Krakow (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Gornik Leczna (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) |
| 20/09/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gornik Leczna (W) |
| 09/06/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Gornik Leczna (W) |
| 10/02/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Gornik Leczna (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) |
| 11/03/23 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Gornik Leczna (W) | 4-2 HT 0-1 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) |
| 27/08/22 Poland Ekstraliga Women | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 3-4 HT 0-2 | Gornik Leczna (W) |
Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKS Katowice (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Gornik Leczna (W) | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 17 |
| 5 | APLG Gdansk (W) | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
| 6 | Legia Warsaw (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 7 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
| 8 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 7 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 7 |
| 11 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 6 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gornik Leczna (W) | AZS UJ Krakow (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Legia Warsaw (W) | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| GKS Katowice (W) | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Pogon Szczecin (W) | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| APLG Gdansk (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Gornik Leczna (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gornik Leczna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/10 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
AZS UJ Krakow (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/10 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gornik Leczna (W) vs AZS UJ Krakow (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gornik Leczna (W) win (74%). Probabilities: Gornik Leczna (W) 74%, draw 17%, AZS UJ Krakow (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Gornik Leczna (W) vs AZS UJ Krakow (W)?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Gornik Leczna (W) 2.32 · AZS UJ Krakow (W) 0.69), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gornik Leczna (W) vs AZS UJ Krakow (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.