Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 07/11, 12:00
Prediction: UKS SMS Lodz (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Team pages: UKS SMS Lodz (W) · Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
UKS SMS Lodz (W)1.67
Lech Poznan UAM (W)1.38
1X2
UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Draw
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
UKS SMS Lodz (W)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UKS SMS Lodz (W)
2–1–0
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
(3 last)
- Lech Poznan UAM (W)1-1UKS SMS Lodz (W)
- UKS SMS Lodz (W)3-1Lech Poznan UAM (W)
- Lech Poznan UAM (W)0-3UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UKS SMS Lodz (W) 1463 · Lech Poznan UAM (W) 1465
| UKS SMS Lodz (W) | Draw | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours UKS SMS Lodz (W): 2-1-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UKS SMS Lodz (W) | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 1.4 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 22/22/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.5 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UKS SMS Lodz (W) 2–1–0 Lech Poznan UAM (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) |
| 11/10/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) |
| 16/11/24 Poland Cup Women | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) |
Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKS Katowice (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Gornik Leczna (W) | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | APLG Gdansk (W) | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Legia Warsaw (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 7 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
| 8 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 7 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 7 |
| 11 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 6 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | Lech Poznan UAM (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Gornik Leczna (W) | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Legia Warsaw (W) | 2-1 W | 3-4 L |
| Pogon Szczecin (W) | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| APLG Gdansk (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Slask Wroclaw (W) | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| GKS Katowice (W) | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: UKS SMS Lodz (W) (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UKS SMS Lodz (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 17/10 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UKS SMS Lodz (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UKS SMS Lodz (W) win (44%). Probabilities: UKS SMS Lodz (W) 44%, draw 25%, Lech Poznan UAM (W) 31%.
How many goals are expected in UKS SMS Lodz (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM (W)?
The model expects 3.05 goals (UKS SMS Lodz (W) 1.67 · Lech Poznan UAM (W) 1.38), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in UKS SMS Lodz (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.