Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 14/11, 12:45

Prediction: AZS UJ Krakow (W) vs UKS SMS Lodz (W)

Team pages: AZS UJ Krakow (W) · UKS SMS Lodz (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

AZS UJ Krakow (W)1.44

UKS SMS Lodz (W)1.26

1X2

41% 27% 32%

AZS UJ Krakow (W) Draw UKS SMS Lodz (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

AZS UJ Krakow (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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UKS SMS Lodz (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLWDLL

Head-to-head

AZS UJ Krakow (W) 0–2–4 UKS SMS Lodz (W) (6 last)

UKS SMS Lodz (W)1-0AZS UJ Krakow (W)
AZS UJ Krakow (W)1-1UKS SMS Lodz (W)
UKS SMS Lodz (W)2-1AZS UJ Krakow (W)
AZS UJ Krakow (W)2-2UKS SMS Lodz (W)
AZS UJ Krakow (W)1-4UKS SMS Lodz (W)
AZS UJ Krakow (W)1-3UKS SMS Lodz (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AZS UJ Krakow (W) 1469 · UKS SMS Lodz (W) 1460

	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	Draw	UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	41%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours UKS SMS Lodz (W): 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	0.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/29/57%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.3	3.3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:50 +17’	2.15	3.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AZS UJ Krakow (W) 0–2–4 UKS SMS Lodz (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	AZS UJ Krakow (W)
05/10/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	UKS SMS Lodz (W)
14/04/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	2-1	AZS UJ Krakow (W)
16/09/23 Poland Ekstraliga Women	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	2-2 HT 1-0	UKS SMS Lodz (W)
29/04/23 Poland Ekstraliga Women	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	1-4 HT 1-3	UKS SMS Lodz (W)
21/01/23 Women’s Friendly	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	1-3 HT 1-3	UKS SMS Lodz (W)

Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GKS Katowice (W)	9	8	1	0	31	7	25
2	Pogon Szczecin (W)	10	7	0	3	25	12	21
3	Czarni Sosnowiec (W)	10	6	2	2	25	13	20
4	Gornik Leczna (W)	10	6	2	2	24	11	20
5	APLG Gdansk (W)	10	4	3	3	14	15	15
6	Legia Warsaw (W)	10	4	2	4	19	20	14
7	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	10	3	3	4	12	17	12
8	Lech Poznan UAM (W)	9	3	1	5	14	20	10
9	Sleza Wroclaw (W)	10	2	2	6	16	25	8
10	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	9	1	4	4	10	21	7
11	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	9	1	3	5	5	18	6
12	Slask Wroclaw (W)	10	0	3	7	9	25	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Gornik Leczna (W)	2-2 D	0-3 L
Legia Warsaw (W)	0-0 D	2-1 W
Lech Poznan UAM (W)	0-2 L	0-3 L
Sleza Wroclaw (W)	4-1 W	0-0 D
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)	0-2 L	0-5 L
Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Pogon Szczecin (W)	1-4 L	0-2 L
APLG Gdansk (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Slask Wroclaw (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: AZS UJ Krakow (W) (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AZS UJ Krakow (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	2-2	2	7	D
31/10	Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	–	0-0	–	–	D
21/10	Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
18/10	GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
04/10	Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	2-1	4-1	5	2	W
27/09	Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
22/08	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	1-4	5	0	L
08/08	APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	–	2-1	–	–	W
02/08	Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	2-1	1	3	W

UKS SMS Lodz (W)

LLDDLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
30/10	Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-2	0-3	4	0	L
17/10	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
04/10	Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
26/09	Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
22/08	APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
15/08	Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-0	12	1	D
08/08	Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-1	9	3	D
31/07	Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-2	0-5	4	5	L
30/05	Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	2-3	7	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AZS UJ Krakow (W) vs UKS SMS Lodz (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AZS UJ Krakow (W) win (41%). Probabilities: AZS UJ Krakow (W) 41%, draw 27%, UKS SMS Lodz (W) 32%.

How many goals are expected in AZS UJ Krakow (W) vs UKS SMS Lodz (W)?

The model expects 2.7 goals (AZS UJ Krakow (W) 1.44 · UKS SMS Lodz (W) 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AZS UJ Krakow (W) vs UKS SMS Lodz (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.