Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 05/09, 17:00

Prediction: NK IB 1975 Ljubljana vs NK Sobec Lesce

Team pages: NK IB 1975 Ljubljana · NK Sobec Lesce

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana1.6
NK Sobec Lesce1.24
1X2
45% 27% 29%
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Draw NK Sobec Lesce
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DLLWWWLLLL
NK Sobec Lesce 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLDWLLWDDL
Head-to-head
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 0–2 NK Sobec Lesce (2 last)
  • NK Sobec Lesce4-1NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
  • NK IB 1975 Ljubljana1-2NK Sobec Lesce
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 1435 · NK Sobec Lesce 1486
NK IB 1975 LjubljanaDrawNK Sobec Lesce
Our model44%27%29%
Market45%26%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Sobec Lesce (rating 1435 vs 1486).
  • H2H favours NK Sobec Lesce: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK IB 1975 LjubljanaNK Sobec Lesce
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.91.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.71 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)67/0/33%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)0 / 3.34 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 04.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 002 NK Sobec Lesce

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
23/05/26
Slovenia 3. SNL
NK Sobec Lesce4-1
HT 2-0
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
08/11/25
Slovenia 3. SNL
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana1-2NK Sobec Lesce

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MNK Izola 3300 1929
2 ND Idrija 3300 519
3 Roltek DOB 3210 817
4 NK Rudar Trbovlje 3210 527
5 NK Sencur 3120 745
6 NK Tolmin 3120 545
7 NK Skofja Loka 3111 654
8 NK Ziri 3111 454
9 NK Litija 3102 463
10 NK Sobec Lesce 3021 232
11 NK Adria Miren 3012 481
12 Svoboda Ljubljana 3012 151
13 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 3003 060
14 NK Fama Vipava 3003 1190

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNK IB 1975 LjubljanaNK Sobec Lesce
ND Idrija 0-2 L 1-2 L
NK Sencur 0-3 L 0-2 L
Svoboda Ljubljana 3-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Sobec Lesce (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

DLLWWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 NK Tolmin
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 L
22/08 ND Idrija
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-2 L
14/08 NK Sencur
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-3 L
23/05 NK Sobec Lesce
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-2 1-4 22 L
16/05 Svoboda Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 3-0 84 W
09/05 ND Bistrc
Slovenia 3. SNL
3-1 W
03/05 NK Ziri
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 3-1 05 W
25/04 NK Tolmin
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-5 L
18/04 ND Idrija
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 L
11/04 NK Skofja Loka
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 D

NK Sobec Lesce

DLDWLLWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 ND Idrija
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 1-2 88 L
23/08 Svoboda Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 1-1 44 D
15/08 NK Rudar Trbovlje
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 D
23/05 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 4-1 42 W
17/05 MNK Izola
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-2 L
09/05 NK Vrhnika
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-2 1-5 44 L
02/05 Roltek DOB
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-1 2-1 33 W
25/04 NK Rudar Trbovlje
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 1-1 34 D
17/04 NK Sencur
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-2 L
12/04 NK Fama Vipava
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK IB 1975 Ljubljana vs NK Sobec Lesce?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK IB 1975 Ljubljana win (45%). Probabilities: NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 45%, draw 27%, NK Sobec Lesce 29%.

How many goals are expected in NK IB 1975 Ljubljana vs NK Sobec Lesce?

The model expects 2.84 goals (NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 1.6 · NK Sobec Lesce 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK IB 1975 Ljubljana vs NK Sobec Lesce?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.