Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 12/09, 16:30

Prediction: Carda Martjanci vs NK Smartno

Team pages: Carda Martjanci · NK Smartno

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Carda Martjanci2.29

NK Smartno1.52

1X2

54% 21% 24%

Carda Martjanci Draw NK Smartno

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Carda Martjanci 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDWLLD

NK Smartno 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLDWW

Head-to-head

Carda Martjanci 2–2 NK Smartno (4 last)

Carda Martjanci3-2NK Smartno
NK Smartno2-1Carda Martjanci
Carda Martjanci4-3NK Smartno
NK Smartno7-1Carda Martjanci

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carda Martjanci (rating 1545 vs 1485).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carda Martjanci	NK Smartno
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/17/33%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.8	0 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.77

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.20
X	3.53 → 3.53	Pinn 3.53
2	2.59 → 2.59	Pinn 2.59

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +119’	2.20	3.53	2.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Carda Martjanci 2–0–2 NK Smartno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	Carda Martjanci	3-2 HT 2-0	NK Smartno
31/08/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Smartno	2-1 HT 2-1	Carda Martjanci
04/05/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	Carda Martjanci	4-3 HT 1-1	NK Smartno
20/10/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Smartno	7-1 HT 4-0	Carda Martjanci

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	4	4	0	0	13	6	12
2	NK Ormoz	4	3	0	1	9	6	9
3	NK Podvinci	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
4	NK Smartno	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
5	NK Hajdina	4	2	1	1	8	8	7
6	NK Korotan Prevalje	4	1	3	0	5	3	6
7	SD Videm	5	2	0	3	8	12	6
8	NK Ljutomer	4	2	0	2	8	6	6
9	NK Fuzinar	4	2	0	2	11	8	6
10	Carda Martjanci	4	1	1	2	7	9	4
11	NK Limbus Pekre	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
12	NK Dobrovce	4	1	0	3	5	13	3
13	NK Race	5	0	2	3	4	7	2
14	NK Sampion Celje	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carda Martjanci	NK Smartno
NK Korotan Prevalje	1-1 D	0-0 D
NK Ormoz	1-3 L	2-4 L
NK Rogaska	3-3 D	3-0 W
NK Race	2-0 W	2-1 W
NK Podvinci	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NK Smartno (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carda Martjanci

WLWWWDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
30/08	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	2-3	3	6	L
16/08	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
23/05	NK Rogaska Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-3	–	–	D
16/05	DNS Zavrc Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/04	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-2	–	–	W
18/04	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/04	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	4-1	3	2	W

NK Smartno

WLLWWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
22/08	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-4	–	–	L
23/05	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/05	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-0	–	–	W
03/05	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	2-5	6	2	L
26/04	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-1	12	3	L
18/04	NK Rogaska Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carda Martjanci vs NK Smartno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carda Martjanci win (54%). Probabilities: Carda Martjanci 54%, draw 21%, NK Smartno 24%.

How many goals are expected in Carda Martjanci vs NK Smartno?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Carda Martjanci 2.29 · NK Smartno 1.52), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Carda Martjanci vs NK Smartno?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.