Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 15/08, 17:30

Prediction: NK Skofja Loka vs NK Fama Vipava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

NK Skofja Loka1.86

NK Fama Vipava1.09

1X2

55% 24% 21%

NK Skofja Loka Draw NK Fama Vipava

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

NK Skofja Loka 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDLWLWLL

NK Fama Vipava 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDWDLWDD

Head-to-head

NK Skofja Loka 2–1–3 NK Fama Vipava (6 last)

NK Skofja Loka2-3NK Fama Vipava
NK Fama Vipava1-1NK Skofja Loka
NK Skofja Loka2-3NK Fama Vipava
NK Fama Vipava0-2NK Skofja Loka
NK Skofja Loka3-2NK Fama Vipava
NK Fama Vipava3-0NK Skofja Loka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Skofja Loka 1453 · NK Fama Vipava 1510

	NK Skofja Loka	Draw	NK Fama Vipava
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	55%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Fama Vipava (rating 1453 vs 1510).
H2H favours NK Fama Vipava: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Skofja Loka	NK Fama Vipava
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	67/0/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.7	2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.90

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.61▼	Pinn 1.92 ★
X	3.75 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	3.60 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:31 +4’	1.73	3.75	3.60
02:15 +4’	1.61▼	3.90▲	4.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:59 +1’	1.92	3.47	3.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Skofja Loka 2–1–3 NK Fama Vipava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Skofja Loka	2-3	NK Fama Vipava
23/11/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Fama Vipava	1-1 HT 1-1	NK Skofja Loka
26/10/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Skofja Loka	2-3 HT 1-2	NK Fama Vipava
28/04/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Fama Vipava	0-2 HT 0-1	NK Skofja Loka
27/04/23 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Skofja Loka	3-2 HT 0-1	NK Fama Vipava
09/10/22 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Fama Vipava	3-0 HT 1-0	NK Skofja Loka

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Sencur	1	1	0	3	0	3
2	MNK Izola	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Adria Miren	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Roltek DOB	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	ND Idrija	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Litija	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Skofja Loka	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Sobec Lesce	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Svoboda Ljubljana	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Tolmin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Fama Vipava	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Ziri	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Rudar Trbovlje	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	1	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Skofja Loka	NK Fama Vipava
Svoboda Ljubljana	1-2 L	2-1 W
NK Tolmin	1-3 L	0-0 D
ND Idrija	1-0 W	0-1 L
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	1-1 D	0-1 L
MNK Izola	1-3 L	3-3 D
Roltek DOB	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Fama Vipava (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Skofja Loka

LDLDLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
16/05	ND Bistrc Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-4	–	–	L
10/05	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-0	–	–	W
02/05	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
25/04	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/04	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
04/04	MNK Izola Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-3	7	6	L
28/03	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
21/03	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L

NK Fama Vipava

DWLDWDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	2-2	4	5	D
16/05	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/05	NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/05	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/04	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
18/04	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/04	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
04/04	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/03	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
21/03	MNK Izola Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Skofja Loka vs NK Fama Vipava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Skofja Loka win (55%). Probabilities: NK Skofja Loka 55%, draw 24%, NK Fama Vipava 21%.

How many goals are expected in NK Skofja Loka vs NK Fama Vipava?

The model expects 2.95 goals (NK Skofja Loka 1.86 · NK Fama Vipava 1.09), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Skofja Loka vs NK Fama Vipava?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.