Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 15/08, 18:00

Prediction: NK Rudar Trbovlje vs NK Sobec Lesce

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

NK Rudar Trbovlje1.86

NK Sobec Lesce1.25

1X2

51% 25% 25%

NK Rudar Trbovlje Draw NK Sobec Lesce

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

NK Rudar Trbovlje 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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NK Sobec Lesce 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

NK Rudar Trbovlje 2–1–0 NK Sobec Lesce (3 last)

NK Sobec Lesce1-1NK Rudar Trbovlje
NK Rudar Trbovlje3-1NK Sobec Lesce
NK Rudar Trbovlje4-1NK Sobec Lesce

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Rudar Trbovlje: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Rudar Trbovlje	NK Sobec Lesce
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	75/25/0%	33/50/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 4.3	2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.75
X	3.54 → 3.54	Pinn 3.54
2	3.66 → 3.66	Pinn 3.66

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:07 +1’	1.75	3.54	3.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Rudar Trbovlje 2–1–0 NK Sobec Lesce

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Sobec Lesce	1-1 HT 0-0	NK Rudar Trbovlje
11/10/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Rudar Trbovlje	3-1	NK Sobec Lesce
02/11/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Rudar Trbovlje	4-1 HT 1-0	NK Sobec Lesce

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Sencur	1	1	0	3	0	3
2	MNK Izola	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Adria Miren	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Roltek DOB	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	ND Idrija	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Litija	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Skofja Loka	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Sobec Lesce	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Svoboda Ljubljana	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Tolmin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Fama Vipava	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Ziri	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	NK Rudar Trbovlje	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	1	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Rudar Trbovlje	NK Sobec Lesce
NK Vrhnika	1-4 L	1-5 L
Roltek DOB	3-3 D	2-1 W
NK Fama Vipava	0-1 L	1-1 D
NK Sencur	1-2 L	0-2 L
Svoboda Ljubljana	0-1 L	0-0 D
ND Bistrc	2-1 W	1-3 L
NK Ziri	5-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Rudar Trbovlje (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

NK Rudar Trbovlje

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	NK Kolpa Slovenia Cup	2-0	2-0	6	5	W
23/05	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-4	–	–	L
16/05	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	3-3	3	10	D
10/05	NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-2	1	10	L
25/04	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
18/04	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/04	ND Bistrc Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
04/04	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-0	–	–	W
28/03	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W

NK Sobec Lesce

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	4-1	4	2	W
17/05	MNK Izola Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/05	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	1-5	4	4	L
02/05	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	2-1	3	3	W
25/04	NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
17/04	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/04	NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
04/04	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
28/03	ND Bistrc Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
21/03	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Rudar Trbovlje vs NK Sobec Lesce?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Rudar Trbovlje win (51%). Probabilities: NK Rudar Trbovlje 51%, draw 25%, NK Sobec Lesce 25%.

How many goals are expected in NK Rudar Trbovlje vs NK Sobec Lesce?

The model expects 3.12 goals (NK Rudar Trbovlje 1.86 · NK Sobec Lesce 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Rudar Trbovlje vs NK Sobec Lesce?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.