Football · USA USL League Two · 15/07, 01:00
Prediction: LVU Rush vs Appalachian FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
LVU Rush1.84
Appalachian FC1.41
1X2
LVU Rush
Draw
Appalachian FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
LVU Rush
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Appalachian FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LVU Rush 1551 · Appalachian FC 1567
| LVU Rush | Draw | Appalachian FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 25% | 29% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LVU Rush | Appalachian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.6 | 2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4.3 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | – / – |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Atlantic Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence II | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 35 |
| 2 | Asheville City SC | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Appalachian FC | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 13 | 28 |
| 4 | Hickory FC | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | Charlotte Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 18 |
| 6 | Salem City FC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 17 |
| 7 | North Carolina FC II | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 30 | 17 |
| 8 | SC United Bantams | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 15 |
| 9 | Tobacco Road | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 12 |
| 10 | Wake FC | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 9 |
| 11 | Port City FC | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 34 | 7 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LVU Rush
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Reading United USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/07 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 02/07 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/06 | West Chester United USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/06 | Real Central NJ USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | Eagle FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | PA Classics USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Real Central NJ USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Appalachian FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | SC United Bantams USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Hickory FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Port City FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Charlotte Independence II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/06 | Tobacco Road USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Asheville City SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Salem City FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Hickory FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | North Carolina FC II USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Wake FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LVU Rush vs Appalachian FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LVU Rush win (47%). Probabilities: LVU Rush 47%, draw 24%, Appalachian FC 29%.
How many goals are expected in LVU Rush vs Appalachian FC?
The model expects 3.25 goals (LVU Rush 1.84 · Appalachian FC 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in LVU Rush vs Appalachian FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.