Football · USA USL League Two · 20/07, 01:30

Prediction: Asheville City SC vs Appalachian FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Asheville City SC1.43
Appalachian FC1.05
1X2
46% 26% 28%
Asheville City SC Draw Appalachian FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Asheville City SC 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWWDWD
Appalachian FC 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WWDDDWWWWW
Head-to-head
Asheville City SC 0–2–0 Appalachian FC (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asheville City SC 1586 · Appalachian FC 1593
Asheville City SCDrawAppalachian FC
Our model45%29%26%
Market47%24%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Asheville City SCAppalachian FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 0.51.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 41 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Asheville City SC 020 Appalachian FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/26
USA USL League Two
Asheville City SC1-1
HT 1-1
Appalachian FC
14/05/26
USA USL League Two
Appalachian FC0-0
HT 0-0
Asheville City SC

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Atlantic Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Charlotte Independence II 141121 32935
2 Asheville City SC 14851 24829
3 Appalachian FC 14842 301328
4 Hickory FC 14914 281528
5 Charlotte Eagles 14536 222418
6 SC United Bantams 14536 232718
7 Salem City FC 14527 242917
8 North Carolina FC II 14527 233017
9 Tobacco Road 14338 263412
10 Wake FC 143011 16399
11 Port City FC 142111 14347

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAsheville City SCAppalachian FC
Hickory FC 0-0 D 2-1 W
SC United Bantams 2-0 W 1-0 W
Charlotte Independence II 1-0 W 2-0 W
Salem City FC 2-1 W 5-2 W
Tobacco Road 5-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Appalachian FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asheville City SC

DWWWWWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Lionsbridge FC
USA USL League Two
1-2 2-2 47 D
15/07 Virginia Beach Utd
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 W
12/07 Hickory FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-0 D
06/07 North Carolina FC II
USA USL League Two
1-1 2-1 W
01/07 SC United Bantams
USA USL League Two
0-0 2-0 W
30/06 Charlotte Independence II
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 W
27/06 Charlotte Eagles
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-0 W
24/06 Salem City FC
USA USL League Two
1-1 2-1 W
20/06 Tobacco Road
USA USL League Two
2-0 5-0 43 W
14/06 Appalachian FC
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-1 D

Appalachian FC

WWDDDWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Charlotte Independence II
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-0 34 W
15/07 LVU Rush
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 42 W
13/07 SC United Bantams
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 W
04/07 Hickory FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-1 W
28/06 Port City FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-0 W
21/06 Charlotte Independence II
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-0 D
18/06 Tobacco Road
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-1 D
14/06 Asheville City SC
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-1 D
11/06 Salem City FC
USA USL League Two
3-0 5-2 W
07/06 Hickory FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asheville City SC vs Appalachian FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Asheville City SC win (46%). Probabilities: Asheville City SC 46%, draw 26%, Appalachian FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Asheville City SC vs Appalachian FC?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Asheville City SC 1.43 · Appalachian FC 1.05), with a 62% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Asheville City SC vs Appalachian FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.