Prediction: Harborough Town vs Morecambe
Team pages: Harborough Town · Morecambe
| Harborough Town | Draw | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harborough Town (rating 1554 vs 1509).
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Harborough Town | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 9.5 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 1.1 / 0 |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Merthyr Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Brackley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Buxton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Chester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Worksop | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Macclesfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Oxford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | South Shields | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Harborough Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kings Lynn Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Spennymoor Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | AFC Telford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Chorley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Darlington 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hereford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Bedford Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Marine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Southport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Radcliffe FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harborough Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Kings Lynn Town England National League North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Quorn UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Chesham Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Real Bedford UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Morecambe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Barrow UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | AFC Fylde UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Bury Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Bamber Bridge UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Clitheroe Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Kendall Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Forest Green England National League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Woking England National League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harborough Town vs Morecambe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Harborough Town win (37%). Probabilities: Harborough Town 37%, draw 26%, Morecambe 37%.
How many goals are expected in Harborough Town vs Morecambe?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Harborough Town 1.57 · Morecambe 1.57), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Harborough Town vs Morecambe?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.