Prediction: Hednesford vs Southport
Team pages: Hednesford · Southport
| Hednesford | Draw | Southport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hednesford | Southport | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/38/13% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Worksop | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | South Shields | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Oxford City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Hebburn Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Brackley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Buxton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Spennymoor Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Harborough Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Darlington 1883 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Scarborough Athletic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Hereford FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Morecambe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Southport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Kings Lynn Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | AFC Telford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Bedford Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Chorley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | Marine | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 | Radcliffe FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hednesford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Merthyr Town England National League North |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Boston Utd Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Solihull Moors Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/05 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | Stockton Town England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Morpeth Town England Northern Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Southport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Buxton England National League North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Hebburn Town England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Wigan UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Warrington Town UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | FC United of Manchester UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Fleetwood Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Atherton Collieries Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | AFC Telford England National League North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/04 | Macclesfield England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | AFC Fylde England National League North |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hednesford vs Southport?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hednesford win (45%). Probabilities: Hednesford 45%, draw 26%, Southport 30%.
How many goals are expected in Hednesford vs Southport?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Hednesford 1.65 · Southport 1.31), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hednesford vs Southport?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

