Prediction: Hednesford vs Southport

Team pages: Hednesford · Southport

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Hednesford1.65
Southport1.31
1X2
45% 26% 30%
Hednesford Draw Southport
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hednesford 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
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Southport 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hednesford 1508 · Southport 1501
HednesfordDrawSouthport
Our model44%26%29%
Market45%25%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HednesfordSouthport
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.31.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/38/13%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.81.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.31.6 / 0.1

Standings · England National League North

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chester 2200 416
2 Worksop 2200 426
3 Macclesfield 2200 316
3 South Shields 2200 316
5 Oxford City 2200 206
6 Hebburn Town 2110 424
7 Brackley 2110 324
7 Buxton 2110 324
7 Spennymoor Town 2110 324
10 Harborough Town 2110 214
11 Merthyr Town 2101 323
12 Spalding United 2101 213
13 Darlington 1883 2101 443
13 Scarborough Athletic 2101 443
15 Hereford FC 2101 223
16 Morecambe 2011 121
17 Southport 2011 241
18 Kings Lynn Town 2011 131
19 AFC Telford 2002 240
19 Bedford Town 2002 240
19 Chorley 2002 240
22 Marine 2002 020
23 Hednesford 2002 360
24 Radcliffe FC 2002 140

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hednesford

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Scarborough Athletic
England National League North
1-1 3-4 76 L
08/08 Merthyr Town
England National League North
0-2 0-2 53 L
01/08 Boston Utd
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-0 W
18/07 Solihull Moors
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-2 L
04/05 Warrington Rylands
England Northern Premier League
0-0 1-1 93 D
28/04 Stockton Town
England Northern Premier League
1-0 2-0 73 W
25/04 Ashton Utd
England Northern Premier League
3-3 D
18/04 Cleethorpes Town
England Northern Premier League
0-0 1-0 53 W
11/04 Morpeth Town
England Northern Premier League
2-0 4-0 22 W
06/04 FC United of Manchester
England Northern Premier League
2-1 W

Southport

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Buxton
England National League North
1-0 1-1 44 D
08/08 Hebburn Town
England National League North
0-2 1-3 64 L
31/07 Wigan
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 42 D
25/07 Warrington Town
UK Friendlies
3-1 3-2 40 W
24/07 FC United of Manchester
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 50 W
18/07 Fleetwood Town
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-2 L
11/07 Atherton Collieries
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-1 D
25/04 AFC Telford
England National League North
1-0 2-0 50 W
21/04 Macclesfield
England National League North
0-0 1-2 31 L
18/04 AFC Fylde
England National League North
0-2 0-4 13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hednesford vs Southport?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hednesford win (45%). Probabilities: Hednesford 45%, draw 26%, Southport 30%.

How many goals are expected in Hednesford vs Southport?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Hednesford 1.65 · Southport 1.31), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hednesford vs Southport?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.