Football · England National League North · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Hednesford vs Scarborough Athletic
Team pages: Hednesford · Scarborough Athletic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Hednesford1.24
Scarborough Athletic1.49
1X2
Hednesford
Draw
Scarborough Athletic
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hednesford
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Scarborough Athletic
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hednesford
0–2
Scarborough Athletic
(2 last)
- Scarborough Athletic5-3Hednesford
- Hednesford0-1Scarborough Athletic
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hednesford 1537 · Scarborough Athletic 1478
| Hednesford | Draw | Scarborough Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hednesford (rating 1537 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Scarborough Athletic: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hednesford | Scarborough Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/29/14% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.6 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hednesford 0–0–2 Scarborough Athletic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/19 England Northern Premier League | Scarborough Athletic | 5-3 | Hednesford |
| 18/08/18 England Northern Premier League | Hednesford | 0-1 | Scarborough Athletic |
Standings · England National League North
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Merthyr Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Brackley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Buxton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Chester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Worksop | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Macclesfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Oxford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | South Shields | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Harborough Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kings Lynn Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Spennymoor Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | AFC Telford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Chorley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Darlington 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hereford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Bedford Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Marine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Southport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Radcliffe FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hednesford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Merthyr Town England National League North |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Boston Utd Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Solihull Moors Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/05 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | Stockton Town England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Morpeth Town England Northern Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Prescot Cables England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Scarborough Athletic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | South Shields England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Harrogate Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Hull U21 UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Barnsley UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 28/04 | Buxton England National League North |
0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Merthyr Town England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Buxton England National League North |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/04 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Darlington 1883 England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hednesford vs Scarborough Athletic?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Scarborough Athletic win (42%). Probabilities: Hednesford 31%, draw 27%, Scarborough Athletic 42%.
How many goals are expected in Hednesford vs Scarborough Athletic?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Hednesford 1.24 · Scarborough Athletic 1.49), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hednesford vs Scarborough Athletic?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.