Football · England National League North · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Hereford FC vs Marine
Team pages: Hereford FC · Marine
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Hereford FC1.59
Marine1.11
1X2
Hereford FC
Draw
Marine
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hereford FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Marine
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hereford FC
3–1–0
Marine
(4 last)
- Hereford FC2-1Marine
- Marine0-1Hereford FC
- Marine2-2Hereford FC
- Hereford FC4-0Marine
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hereford FC 1505 · Marine 1486
| Hereford FC | Draw | Marine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hereford FC: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hereford FC | Marine | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hereford FC 3–1–0 Marine
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 England National League North | Hereford FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Marine |
| 08/04/26 England National League North | Marine | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hereford FC |
| 01/03/25 England National League North | Marine | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Hereford FC |
| 09/11/24 England National League North | Hereford FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Marine |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Merthyr Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Brackley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Buxton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Chester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Worksop | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Macclesfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Oxford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | South Shields | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Harborough Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kings Lynn Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Spennymoor Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | AFC Telford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Chorley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Darlington 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hereford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Bedford Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Marine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Southport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Radcliffe FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hereford FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Buxton England National League North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Bromsgrove Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Shrewsbury UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Solihull Moors UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Peterborough Sports England National League North |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/04 | Marine England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 14/04 | Oxford City England National League North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 11/04 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/04 | Marine England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Marine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Macclesfield England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Bootle Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Warrington Town UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Prescot Cables Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Runcorn Linnets Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Colwyn Bay UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Blackburn U23 Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 21/04 | Hereford FC England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Alfreton Town England National League North |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hereford FC vs Marine?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hereford FC win (48%). Probabilities: Hereford FC 48%, draw 26%, Marine 26%.
How many goals are expected in Hereford FC vs Marine?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Hereford FC 1.59 · Marine 1.11), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hereford FC vs Marine?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.