Football · England National League North · 18/08, 20:45
Prediction: Spalding United vs Macclesfield
Team pages: Spalding United · Macclesfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Spalding United1.4
Macclesfield1.66
1X2
Spalding United
Draw
Macclesfield
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Spalding United
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Macclesfield
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spalding United
1–0
Macclesfield
(1 last)
- Spalding United8-0Macclesfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spalding United 1540 · Macclesfield 1555
| Spalding United | Draw | Macclesfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spalding United | Macclesfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/29/14% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.4 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spalding United 1–0–0 Macclesfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/24 Club Friendly List | Spalding United | 8-0 HT 3-0 | Macclesfield |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Worksop | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | South Shields | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Oxford City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Hebburn Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Brackley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Buxton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Spennymoor Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Harborough Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Darlington 1883 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Scarborough Athletic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Hereford FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Morecambe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Southport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Kings Lynn Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | AFC Telford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Bedford Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Chorley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | Marine | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 | Radcliffe FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spalding United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Chelmsford Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Bishop's Stortford Club Friendly List |
5-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Macclesfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Marine England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | FC United of Manchester UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Tamworth UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Altrincham UK Friendlies |
3-2 | 5-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Warrington Town UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Leek Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Hyde Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 29/04 | Chester England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spalding United vs Macclesfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Macclesfield win (43%). Probabilities: Spalding United 31%, draw 26%, Macclesfield 43%.
How many goals are expected in Spalding United vs Macclesfield?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Spalding United 1.4 · Macclesfield 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Spalding United vs Macclesfield?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.