Football · England National League North · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Bedford Town vs Darlington 1883
Team pages: Bedford Town · Darlington 1883
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Bedford Town1.42
Darlington 18831.66
1X2
Bedford Town
Draw
Darlington 1883
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bedford Town
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Darlington 1883
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bedford Town
0–2
Darlington 1883
(2 last)
- Darlington 18832-0Bedford Town
- Bedford Town3-4Darlington 1883
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bedford Town 1478 · Darlington 1883 1470
| Bedford Town | Draw | Darlington 1883 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Darlington 1883: 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bedford Town | Darlington 1883 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bedford Town 0–0–2 Darlington 1883
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England National League North | Darlington 1883 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Bedford Town |
| 29/11/25 England National League North | Bedford Town | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Darlington 1883 |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Merthyr Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Brackley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Buxton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Chester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Worksop | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Macclesfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Oxford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | South Shields | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Harborough Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kings Lynn Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Spennymoor Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | AFC Telford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Chorley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Darlington 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hereford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Bedford Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Marine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Southport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Radcliffe FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bedford Town | Darlington 1883 |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford City | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| South Shields | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bedford Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Kettering Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Real Bedford Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Walton & Hersham UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Berkhamsted UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | Aldershot UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | South Shields England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Hereford FC England National League North |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/04 | Kings Lynn Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Darlington 1883
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Worksop England National League North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Dunston UTS Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Rotherham UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Carlisle UK Friendlies |
1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Stockton Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Redcar Athletic UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 18/04 | AFC Telford England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Marine England National League North |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | South Shields England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bedford Town vs Darlington 1883?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Darlington 1883 win (42%). Probabilities: Bedford Town 32%, draw 26%, Darlington 1883 42%.
How many goals are expected in Bedford Town vs Darlington 1883?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Bedford Town 1.42 · Darlington 1883 1.66), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bedford Town vs Darlington 1883?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.