Football · England National League North · 18/08, 20:45

Prediction: Brackley vs Kings Lynn Town

Team pages: Brackley · Kings Lynn Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Brackley1.56

Kings Lynn Town1.02

1X2

49% 26% 24%

Brackley Draw Kings Lynn Town

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Brackley 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDLWWD

Kings Lynn Town 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLDDLDL

Head-to-head

Brackley 0–3–3 Kings Lynn Town (6 last)

Kings Lynn Town0-0Brackley
Brackley0-1Kings Lynn Town
Brackley1-3Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town2-2Brackley
Brackley1-1Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town2-1Brackley

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brackley 1523 · Kings Lynn Town 1458

	Brackley	Draw	Kings Lynn Town
Our model	49%	28%	24%
Market	50%	25%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brackley (rating 1523 vs 1458).
H2H favours Kings Lynn Town: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brackley	Kings Lynn Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	3.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.60

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:14 +12’	1.80	3.60	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brackley 0–3–3 Kings Lynn Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/03/25 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Brackley
17/12/24 England National League North	Brackley	0-1 HT 0-0	Kings Lynn Town
20/02/24 England National League North	Brackley	1-3 HT 1-1	Kings Lynn Town
05/09/23 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	2-2 HT 1-0	Brackley
14/03/23 England National League North	Brackley	1-1 HT 1-0	Kings Lynn Town
16/08/22 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	2-1 HT 0-1	Brackley

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chester	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
2	Worksop	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
3	Macclesfield	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
3	South Shields	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
5	Oxford City	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
6	Hebburn Town	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
7	Brackley	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Buxton	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Spennymoor Town	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
10	Harborough Town	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
11	Merthyr Town	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
12	Spalding United	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
13	Darlington 1883	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
13	Scarborough Athletic	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
15	Hereford FC	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
16	Morecambe	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
17	Southport	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
18	Kings Lynn Town	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
19	AFC Telford	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
19	Bedford Town	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
19	Chorley	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
22	Marine	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
23	Hednesford	2	0	0	2	3	6	0
24	Radcliffe FC	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Brackley

LWLWDDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Hebburn Town England National League North	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
08/08	AFC Telford England National League North	0-0	2-1	3	3	W
01/08	Maidenhead Utd UK Friendlies	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
21/07	Stratford Town UK Friendlies	0-1	0-1	4	0	L
18/07	Cardiff MU UK Friendlies	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
14/07	Leamington UK Friendlies	2-1	2-2	4	1	D
11/07	Ardley Utd Club Friendly List	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
25/04	Carlisle England National League	0-2	0-3	7	2	L
18/04	Aldershot England National League	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
11/04	Scunthorpe England National League	0-1	0-1	5	4	L

Kings Lynn Town

WLDLLDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Chester England National League North	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
08/08	Harborough Town England National League North	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
04/07	Norwich Club Friendly List	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Chester England National League North	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
18/04	Chorley England National League North	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
11/04	Kidderminster England National League North	1-3	1-4	2	1	L
06/04	Bedford Town England National League North	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
03/04	Peterborough Sports England National League North	0-1	2-2	5	8	D
28/03	Spennymoor Town England National League North	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
24/03	Leamington England National League North	4-0	5-2	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brackley vs Kings Lynn Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brackley win (49%). Probabilities: Brackley 49%, draw 26%, Kings Lynn Town 24%.

How many goals are expected in Brackley vs Kings Lynn Town?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Brackley 1.56 · Kings Lynn Town 1.02), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brackley vs Kings Lynn Town?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.