Football · England National League North · 18/08, 20:45
Prediction: Darlington 1883 vs Chester
Team pages: Darlington 1883 · Chester
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Darlington 18831.26
Chester1.36
1X2
Darlington 1883
Draw
Chester
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Darlington 1883
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Chester
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Darlington 1883
2–2–2
Chester
(6 last)
- Chester2-1Darlington 1883
- Darlington 18831-1Chester
- Chester2-1Darlington 1883
- Darlington 18831-0Chester
- Chester0-0Darlington 1883
- Darlington 18833-2Chester
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darlington 1883 1462 · Chester 1572
| Darlington 1883 | Draw | Chester | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chester (rating 1462 vs 1572).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Darlington 1883 | Chester | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.4 | 2.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Darlington 1883 2–2–2 Chester
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England National League North | Chester | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Darlington 1883 |
| 20/09/25 England National League North | Darlington 1883 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chester |
| 12/04/25 England National League North | Chester | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Darlington 1883 |
| 05/11/24 England National League North | Darlington 1883 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chester |
| 20/04/24 England National League North | Chester | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Darlington 1883 |
| 11/11/23 England National League North | Darlington 1883 | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Chester |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Worksop | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | South Shields | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Oxford City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Hebburn Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Brackley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Buxton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Spennymoor Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Harborough Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Darlington 1883 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Scarborough Athletic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Hereford FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Morecambe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Southport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Kings Lynn Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | AFC Telford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Bedford Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Chorley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | Marine | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 | Radcliffe FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darlington 1883
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Bedford Town England National League North |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Worksop England National League North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Dunston UTS Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Rotherham UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Carlisle UK Friendlies |
1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Stockton Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Redcar Athletic UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 18/04 | AFC Telford England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Marine England National League North |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
Chester
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Kings Lynn Town England National League North |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Chorley England National League North |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Crewe UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/07 | Nantwich Town Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | Hyde Utd UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Stoke U21 UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Warrington Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Fleetwood Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Vauxhall Motors Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Macclesfield England National League North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darlington 1883 vs Chester?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chester win (39%). Probabilities: Darlington 1883 34%, draw 27%, Chester 39%.
How many goals are expected in Darlington 1883 vs Chester?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Darlington 1883 1.26 · Chester 1.36), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Darlington 1883 vs Chester?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.