Prediction: Morecambe vs South Shields
Team pages: Morecambe · South Shields
| Morecambe | Draw | South Shields | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South Shields (rating 1498 vs 1542).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Morecambe | South Shields | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.6 | 3 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Worksop | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | South Shields | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Oxford City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Hebburn Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Brackley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Buxton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Spennymoor Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Harborough Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Darlington 1883 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Scarborough Athletic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Hereford FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Morecambe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Southport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Kings Lynn Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | AFC Telford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Bedford Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Chorley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | Marine | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 | Radcliffe FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Morecambe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Harborough Town England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Barrow UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | AFC Fylde UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Bury Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Bamber Bridge UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Clitheroe Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Kendall Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Forest Green England National League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
South Shields
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Chorley England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Dag & Red Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Gateshead UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/07 | Harrogate Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Buxton England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 24 | 2 | D |
| 14/04 | Macclesfield England National League North |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Morecambe vs South Shields?
According to our model, the most likely result is an South Shields win (41%). Probabilities: Morecambe 32%, draw 27%, South Shields 41%.
How many goals are expected in Morecambe vs South Shields?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Morecambe 1.27 · South Shields 1.45), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Morecambe vs South Shields?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.