Prediction: HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Diriangen
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | Draw | Diriangen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 26% | 51% |
| Market | 24% | 24% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diriangen (rating 1497 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Diriangen: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | Diriangen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.5 | 0.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HYH Export Sebaco FC 2–0–4 Diriangen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Nicaragua Cup | Diriangen | 1-2 HT 1-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 16/04/26 Nicaragua Clausura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Diriangen |
| 16/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Diriangen | 0-1 HT 0-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 07/12/25 Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs | Diriangen | 5-0 HT 1-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 30/11/25 Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Diriangen |
| 03/11/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Diriangen | 5-0 HT 2-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HYH Export Sebaco FC | Diriangen |
|---|---|---|
| Real Esteli | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Real Madriz FC | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Managua FC | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Diriangen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HYH Export Sebaco FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Diriangen Nicaragua Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/04 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 15/03 | FC Esteli Nicaragua Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/03 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/03 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/03 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Diriangen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 4-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 16/04 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 09/04 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Diriangen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Diriangen win (52%). Probabilities: HYH Export Sebaco FC 23%, draw 25%, Diriangen 52%.
How many goals are expected in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Diriangen?
The model expects 2.86 goals (HYH Export Sebaco FC 1.11 · Diriangen 1.75), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Diriangen?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.