Prediction: Diriangen vs HYH Export Sebaco FC
Expected goals: 3.17 (Diriangen 2.24 · HYH Export Sebaco FC 0.94). The model gives 67% home, 19% draw, 14% away. Under 3.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Diriangen sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while HYH Export Sebaco FC arrives on a 3-1-6 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Diriangen won 4 and HYH Export Sebaco FC 2.
| Diriangen | Draw | HYH Export Sebaco FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 21% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 18% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diriangen (rating 1559 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Diriangen: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Diriangen | HYH Export Sebaco FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 5 | 1.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diriangen 4–0–2 HYH Export Sebaco FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 Nicaragua Clausura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Diriangen |
| 16/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Diriangen | 0-1 HT 0-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 07/12/25 Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs | Diriangen | 5-0 HT 1-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 30/11/25 Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Diriangen |
| 03/11/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Diriangen | 5-0 HT 2-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 23/08/25 Nicaragua Apertura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Diriangen |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Diriangen | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
|---|---|---|
| Real Esteli | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Matagalpa FC | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Managua FC | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Real Madriz FC | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Diriangen (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diriangen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 4-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 16/04 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 09/04 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 18/03 | Tigres de Chinandega Nicaragua Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
HYH Export Sebaco FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/04 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 15/03 | FC Esteli Nicaragua Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/03 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/03 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/03 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/02 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diriangen vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Diriangen win (67%). Probabilities: Diriangen 67%, draw 19%, HYH Export Sebaco FC 14%.
How many goals are expected in Diriangen vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Diriangen 2.24 · HYH Export Sebaco FC 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Diriangen vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.