Prediction: Rancho Santana FC vs Managua FC
Expected goals: 3.19 (Rancho Santana FC 0.99 · Managua FC 2.21). The model gives 16% home, 19% draw, 65% away. Under 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-2.
Over its last 10 matches, Rancho Santana FC sits at 3-1-6 (W-D-L), while Managua FC arrives on a 6-2-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Rancho Santana FC won 0 and Managua FC 4, with 2 draws.
| Rancho Santana FC | Draw | Managua FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 21% | 64% |
| Market | 16% | 18% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Managua FC (rating 1453 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Managua FC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rancho Santana FC | Managua FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.5 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rancho Santana FC 0–2–4 Managua FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Managua FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
| 01/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Rancho Santana FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Managua FC |
| 20/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Rancho Santana FC | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Managua FC |
| 26/07/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Managua FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
| 03/04/25 Nicaragua Clausura | Rancho Santana FC | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Managua FC |
| 27/01/25 Nicaragua Clausura | Managua FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rancho Santana FC | Managua FC |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madriz FC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| UNAN Managua | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| CD Walter Ferretti | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Esteli | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Matagalpa FC | 2-8 L | 2-4 L |
| Diriangen | 1-5 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Managua FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rancho Santana FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/04 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/04 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 13/04 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/04 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 20/03 | CD Santo Tomas del Norte Nicaragua Cup |
4-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/03 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/03 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/03 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-3 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 26/02 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
0-4 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
Managua FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Diriangen Nicaragua Clausura |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/04 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 09/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/03 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/03 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/03 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/03 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rancho Santana FC vs Managua FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Managua FC win (65%). Probabilities: Rancho Santana FC 16%, draw 19%, Managua FC 65%.
How many goals are expected in Rancho Santana FC vs Managua FC?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Rancho Santana FC 0.99 · Managua FC 2.21), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rancho Santana FC vs Managua FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.