Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 22/08, 18:00
Prediction: Umraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor
Team pages: Umraniyespor · Esenler Erokspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Umraniyespor1.12
Esenler Erokspor1.25
1X2
Umraniyespor
Draw
Esenler Erokspor
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Umraniyespor
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Esenler Erokspor
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Umraniyespor
1–1–2
Esenler Erokspor
(4 last)
- Esenler Erokspor1-0Umraniyespor
- Umraniyespor0-2Esenler Erokspor
- Umraniyespor1-1Esenler Erokspor
- Esenler Erokspor0-1Umraniyespor
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Esenler Erokspor (rating 1442 vs 1517).
- H2H favours Esenler Erokspor: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Umraniyespor | Esenler Erokspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 1.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Umraniyespor 1–1–2 Esenler Erokspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/26 Türkiye 1 Lig | Esenler Erokspor | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Umraniyespor |
| 30/08/25 Türkiye 1 Lig | Umraniyespor | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Esenler Erokspor |
| 14/04/25 Türkiye 1 Lig | Umraniyespor | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Esenler Erokspor |
| 09/12/24 Türkiye 1 Lig | Esenler Erokspor | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Umraniyespor |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manisa BBSK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Bursaspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Fatih Karagumruk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Bandirmaspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Batman Petrolspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Sariyer | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Mardin 1969 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Antalyaspor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Esenler Erokspor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Umraniyespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Bodrum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Muglaspor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Pendikspor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | Istanbulspor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 19 | Boluspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Vanspor FK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Umraniyespor | Esenler Erokspor |
|---|---|---|
| Keciorengucu | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Amedspor | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Sakaryaspor | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Pendikspor | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Umraniyespor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Galatasaray Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Adana Demirspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/04 | Amedspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/04 | Sakaryaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
Esenler Erokspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | Sakaryaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/04 | Amedspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Umraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Esenler Erokspor win (38%). Probabilities: Umraniyespor 32%, draw 30%, Esenler Erokspor 38%.
How many goals are expected in Umraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Umraniyespor 1.12 · Esenler Erokspor 1.25), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Umraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.