Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 30/08, 20:30
Prediction: Manisa BBSK vs Bodrum FK
Team pages: Manisa BBSK · Bodrum FK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Manisa BBSK1.23
Bodrum FK1.07
1X2
Manisa BBSK
Draw
Bodrum FK
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Manisa BBSK
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Bodrum FK
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Manisa BBSK
2–1–3
Bodrum FK
(6 last)
- Bodrum FK1-2Manisa BBSK
- Manisa BBSK0-4Bodrum FK
- Manisa BBSK0-1Bodrum FK
- Bodrum FK2-0Manisa BBSK
- Manisa BBSK2-1Bodrum FK
- Bodrum FK1-1Manisa BBSK
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manisa BBSK 1538 · Bodrum FK 1510
| Manisa BBSK | Draw | Bodrum FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bodrum FK: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Manisa BBSK | Bodrum FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.5 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manisa BBSK 2–1–3 Bodrum FK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Türkiye 1 Lig | Bodrum FK | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Manisa BBSK |
| 28/09/25 Türkiye 1 Lig | Manisa BBSK | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Bodrum FK |
| 02/04/24 Türkiye 1 Lig | Manisa BBSK | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bodrum FK |
| 05/11/23 Türkiye 1 Lig | Bodrum FK | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Manisa BBSK |
| 08/03/23 Türkiye 1 Lig | Manisa BBSK | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Bodrum FK |
| 18/09/22 Türkiye 1 Lig | Bodrum FK | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Manisa BBSK |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Mardin 1969 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Manisa BBSK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Bursaspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Fatih Karagumruk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Sariyer | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Pendikspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Esenler Erokspor | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Umraniyespor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 | Bodrum FK | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Sivasspor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Muglaspor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 | Istanbulspor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manisa BBSK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Sakaryaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Serikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Adana Demirspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
Bodrum FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 11/05 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Amedspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manisa BBSK vs Bodrum FK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Manisa BBSK win (39%). Probabilities: Manisa BBSK 39%, draw 29%, Bodrum FK 31%.
How many goals are expected in Manisa BBSK vs Bodrum FK?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Manisa BBSK 1.23 · Bodrum FK 1.07), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Manisa BBSK vs Bodrum FK?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.