Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 30/08, 18:00

Prediction: Esenler Erokspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor

Team pages: Esenler Erokspor · 76 Igdir Belediyespor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Esenler Erokspor1.68
76 Igdir Belediyespor0.97
1X2
53% 26% 21%
Esenler Erokspor Draw 76 Igdir Belediyespor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Esenler Erokspor 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWLDLDDD
76 Igdir Belediyespor 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWDLDWLL
Head-to-head
Esenler Erokspor 3–1 76 Igdir Belediyespor (4 last)
  • 76 Igdir Belediyespor0-3Esenler Erokspor
  • Esenler Erokspor2-376 Igdir Belediyespor
  • Esenler Erokspor3-176 Igdir Belediyespor
  • 76 Igdir Belediyespor1-2Esenler Erokspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Esenler Erokspor 1503 · 76 Igdir Belediyespor 1461
Esenler EroksporDraw76 Igdir Belediyespor
Our model53%27%21%
Market53%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Esenler Erokspor (rating 1503 vs 1461).
  • H2H favours Esenler Erokspor: 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Esenler Erokspor76 Igdir Belediyespor
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.91.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 4.21.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.23.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Esenler Erokspor 301 76 Igdir Belediyespor

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Türkiye 1 Lig
76 Igdir Belediyespor0-3
HT 0-1
Esenler Erokspor
27/09/25
Türkiye 1 Lig
Esenler Erokspor2-3
HT 1-2
76 Igdir Belediyespor
12/02/25
Türkiye 1 Lig
Esenler Erokspor3-1
HT 0-1
76 Igdir Belediyespor
15/09/24
Türkiye 1 Lig
76 Igdir Belediyespor1-2
HT 1-0
Esenler Erokspor

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kayserispor 3300 509
2 Mardin 1969 3210 507
3 Manisa BBSK 3210 847
4 Batman Petrolspor 3210 637
5 Bursaspor 3201 426
6 Fatih Karagumruk 3201 446
7 Bandirmaspor 3120 415
8 Keciorengucu 3111 864
9 Sariyer 3111 434
10 Pendikspor 3111 684
11 Esenler Erokspor 3030 223
11 76 Igdir Belediyespor 3102 223
13 Antalyaspor 3102 683
14 Vanspor FK 3102 483
15 Umraniyespor 3021 232
16 Bodrum FK 3021 242
16 Sivasspor 3021 242
18 Muglaspor 3021 022
19 Istanbulspor 3012 481
20 Boluspor 3003 170

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEsenler Erokspor76 Igdir Belediyespor
Sivasspor 0-0 D 1-2 L
Corum Belediyespor 0-2 L 0-2 L
Pendikspor 1-1 D 1-1 D
Keciorengucu 1-0 W 0-1 L
Amedspor 1-1 D 3-3 D
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Esenler Erokspor (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Esenler Erokspor

WDWWLDLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Umraniyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-1 D
14/08 Sariyer
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-1 46 D
08/08 Sivasspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 24 D
24/05 Corum Belediyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 0-2 35 L
02/05 Pendikspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 1-1 53 D
26/04 Sariyer
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-1 47 L
19/04 Keciorengucu
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-0 63 W
13/04 Sakaryaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 2-1 65 W
09/04 Amedspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-1 44 D
05/04 Sivasspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-0 3-1 43 W

76 Igdir Belediyespor

LLLWDLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Kayserispor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-1 L
15/08 Bursaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 0-1 42 L
09/08 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 2-0 33 W
02/05 Amedspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-2 3-3 38 D
26/04 Sivasspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-2 35 L
19/04 Pendikspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-1 53 D
12/04 Adana Demirspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-1 6-1 52 W
08/04 Keciorengucu
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-1 26 L
04/04 Erzurumspor FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 1-2 22 L
22/03 Corum Belediyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-2 51 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Esenler Erokspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Esenler Erokspor win (53%). Probabilities: Esenler Erokspor 53%, draw 26%, 76 Igdir Belediyespor 21%.

How many goals are expected in Esenler Erokspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Esenler Erokspor 1.68 · 76 Igdir Belediyespor 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Esenler Erokspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.