Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 22/08, 20:30

Prediction: Bodrum FK vs Muglaspor

Team pages: Bodrum FK · Muglaspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Bodrum FK1.47

Muglaspor0.62

1X2

58% 27% 15%

Bodrum FK Draw Muglaspor

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Bodrum FK 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDLWWLLD

Muglaspor 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWDDLD

Head-to-head

Bodrum FK 1–1–0 Muglaspor (2 last)

Muglaspor1-2Bodrum FK
Bodrum FK0-0Muglaspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bodrum FK 1516 · Muglaspor 1499

	Bodrum FK	Draw	Muglaspor
Our model	57%	29%	14%
Market	59%	25%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bodrum FK	Muglaspor
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.60

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.29
2	5.50 → 4.00▼	Pinn 4.45 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:37 +30’	1.53	3.60	5.50
11:15 +6’	1.85▲	3.10▼	4.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:51	1.69	3.61	4.95
03:28	1.72▲	3.62▲	4.90▼
11:19 +1’	1.88▲	3.37▼	4.44▼
16:53 +5’	1.91▲	3.29▼	4.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bodrum FK 1–1–0 Muglaspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/12/25 Türkiye Cup	Muglaspor	1-2 HT 1-0	Bodrum FK
06/09/16 Türkiye Cup	Bodrum FK	0-0 HT 0-0	Muglaspor

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Manisa BBSK	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Kayserispor	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
3	Bursaspor	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
4	Fatih Karagumruk	3	2	0	1	4	4	6
5	Bandirmaspor	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
6	Batman Petrolspor	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
7	Sariyer	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
8	Mardin 1969	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
9	Keciorengucu	2	1	0	1	7	5	3
10	76 Igdir Belediyespor	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
11	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	4	5	3
12	Esenler Erokspor	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
13	Umraniyespor	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	Bodrum FK	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
15	Muglaspor	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
15	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
17	Pendikspor	2	0	1	1	3	6	1
18	Istanbulspor	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
19	Boluspor	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
20	Vanspor FK	2	0	0	2	1	6	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bodrum FK	Muglaspor
Sariyer	0-1 L	0-2 L
Bandirmaspor	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bodrum FK (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bodrum FK

DDDDLWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	2-2	6	2	D
09/08	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
15/05	Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	3	10	L
11/05	Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
07/05	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
02/05	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
26/04	Amedspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
19/04	Erzurumspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
11/04	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
07/04	Corum Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	3	3	D

Muglaspor

LLWDWWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
10/05	Elazigspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
04/05	Sanliurfaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz	0-1	1-1	10	9	D
30/04	Sanliurfaspor Türkiye 2.Lig Play-offs	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
25/04	Kastamonuspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
19/04	Sanliurfaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/04	Karaman Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
08/04	Karacabey Birlikspor AS Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz	0-1	0-3	7	6	L
04/04	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bodrum FK vs Muglaspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bodrum FK win (58%). Probabilities: Bodrum FK 58%, draw 27%, Muglaspor 15%.

How many goals are expected in Bodrum FK vs Muglaspor?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Bodrum FK 1.47 · Muglaspor 0.62), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bodrum FK vs Muglaspor?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.